6/16 MLB Wednesday

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Go Pittsburgh!
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Sep 20, 2004
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All plays are for ONE Base Unit
& listed pitchers -

Yesterday: 2-4 -0.98U
YTD Straight Plays: 131-130 50.19% +3.14U
YTD Parlays: 2-2 50.00 +2.04U
Total: +5.18U


Had time to write 'em up today -


Chicago White Sox +134

Florida batting .194 L10 versus lefties. CWS batting .289 L10 versus righties. Schoenweiss splits favorable away(3.11 ERA, .234 BAA) & @ night(3.60 ERA, .243 BAA). Value in this line as Pavano has been excellent last 3 starts but I see this as a much more even game.


Cleveland -118

Ginter has been excellent this year but he is significantly more vulnerable against left-handed hitters - 1.42 WHIP & .267 BAA. Judging by that WHIP, Cleveland's lefties should be able to get on base so this looks like it could be a tough spot for Ginter. Sabathia has a 2.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and .218 BAA away from the Jake. Edge to Cleveland with starter, hitting, and YES, even the bullpen is hot for the Tribe - 1.69 ERA L5 & 2.27 ERA L10.


Tampa Bay/San Diego UNDER 8 -125

TB .241 BA AWAY, SD .236 BAA HOME versus righties. Valdez has 2.68 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and .206 BAA at home. Valdez is excellent versus lefties(1.04 WHIP & 2.38 BAA) so he matches up well versus Tampa's lefty bats. Zambrano is a tough right-hander that should contain San Diego (.247 BA L10 versus righties) - Would play SD except do not like going against winning streaks very often so safer play is UNDER.


Colorado +180

I'll keep this simple: Schilling, like most pitchers has struggled at Coors and is not as good on the road this year as well. Value.


Seattle +114

Mariners hit lefties at .314 BA away from Safeco. Nageotte shut out Houston for 6 innings last time out and lefties are 0-11 against him so far. The majority of the Brew crew's thunder is left-handed. Not a whole lot of history to draw from with Nageotte, but edge appears to be with Seattle and they are the underdog.
 

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