DOG WATCH

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
19,209
Tokens
lets see what the dogs do for a month if you played every dog for 1 unit
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
19,209
Tokens
6/22

MON +108...W BY 3
ATL +137...L
CIN +103...L
COL +138...L
PIT +195...L
CUB +106...W
ARI +153...L
LOS -101...L
TAM +112...W BY 4
MIN +212...L
BAL +151...L
CLE +172...L
SEA +123...L
DET +107...L
ANA +116...W BY 5

lot of small dogs today

4 win 11 lose - 6.58 units

thaks for the feedback guys i thought the dogs were doing well

gl

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 23, 2004 at 01:47 AM.]

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 23, 2004 at 02:23 AM.]

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 23, 2004 at 12:16 PM.]
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
FYI

if you had played every dog for 100 ea. you would be up 6650 so far this year.

up 1690 this month.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2001
Messages
4,009
Tokens
That is amazing

I wonder if anyone has stats tracking this in previous years...
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
i have every days lines from day 1 and went back and looked.

the trend that is blowing me away right now is if you played every dog , but flipped them over and made them the - 1.5 plus money side. basically using reverse run lines.

i only have numbers for june and you would be up $3444.00 for the month on 100 per.

your record would be 96 - 169 . nice month with a 36 % winning percentage.
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
oh and by the way ,

that up $ 3444.00 with 2 huge losing days.

6/8 1-13 - 1149.00
6/13 1-14 - 1245.00

a few more wins on those days and it would be a really good month.
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
8,605
Tokens
KING,
Is this something that you have done this year or in the past or something that you have just simply monitored? Sounds almost too good to be true! Some of the big dogs tonight, Minnesota and Pitt, are both +300 or better on the alternate run lines. Might take a stab at some dogs tonight -1.5. Please let me know if this is something that you have played this year at all or just something you simply have monitored. Good luck to you tonight!
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
i started looking at them early june and jumped in.

you cant just pick and choose . it is up based on playing every game. their have been a few times that i played the home dog straight when the payoff was like 190.

other than those few instances i have played every game minus the 1 1/2 + money.

the average pay back is well over 200 . you only need 5 winners most of the time to break even or show a small profit. 6 or more winners out of 15 and its a nice night.

their have been a couple of big losing nights , but it had ran off 6 straight winning nights until a small loss last night due to a 1-4 night.

be careful.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2001
Messages
4,009
Tokens
Ive been using the reverse run lines on dogs almost exclusively this year and doing pretty well at it.

I wonder if its like this every year


I have been picking and choosing though
 

New member
Joined
Aug 21, 2003
Messages
6,006
Tokens
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by KING0818:
FYI

if you had played every dog for 100 ea. you would be up 6650 so far this year.

up 1690 this month.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

food for thought, Cap...........
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
it was your way of playing that got me looking at them jaypaw.

i figured something had to give given the 2 facts that a little over 70 % of all games are decided by 2 or more runs and that the road teams are winning at about 46 % this year.

put those 2 facts together with an average payoff of over 200 on reverse runlines and then throw in home dogs for good measure.

thought it was worth tracking.

having said all that , it will probably lose every day the rest of the month.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 20, 2002
Messages
11,881
Tokens
this poster has his plays from the start of baseball

strickly all dogs r his plays.. pretty nice record...................



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Originally posted by nepenthe:
Fri recap: Minnesota Loses -1

Overall: 149-157 +38.23 Units (Previous high: 46.32 Units)

Sat card is very scary. A definite uphill climb.

OAKLAND +135 @ Chicago
New York @ LOS ANGELES +130
Boston @ SAN FRANCISCO +190
TEXAS +157 @ Florida
ANAHEIM +160 @ Houston
Cleveland @ Atlanta +100
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
56
Tokens
Please help me understand the "reverse-run line".

Tonight we have:
Arizona +150 +1 1/2 -145
San Diego -165 -1 1/2 +125

LA -104 +1 1/2 -200
SF -106 -1 1/2 +170

What are the plays?

Thanks for your time
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
reverse run lines are only offered by a few shops as far as i can tell. pinnacle, wwts, olympic, cascade, 5 dimes.

basically they put up another line separate of what you listed.

the 2 games you listed would have reverse run lines of :

ariz - 1.5 + 253

los ang - 1.5 + 170

they are also known as alternate run lines.

hope that explains.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
56
Tokens
KING

It sures does....Thanks

If my book does not have those lines available, I assume just playing the dogs as per the moneyline is what you had first been discussing (that were up over 6 gs this year so far......)

And do you think this is a trend that will continue as the linemakers fine-tune the lines?

Thanks for taking the time.....
Looking at Arizona in a different light tonight....

Thanks again
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
Joined
Nov 20, 2001
Messages
15,052
Tokens
hard to know if the dogs will continue to perform. i think their is so much parity in baseball now that the road team has just as much of a chance to win as the home does.

road team is typically the dog.

the reverse run line thing is on pace to get clocked so far tonight. but still up for the month.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
19,209
Tokens
thanks for the info king

4/11 -6.58

6/23

MON +132 L
ATL +141 L
CIN +116 W by 2
COL +128 W
PIT +176 W by 5
CUB +128 L
SDG +113 W
LOS +125 L
TAM +161 L
MIN +159 W by 2
BAL +139 W by 11
CLE +134 W by 4
TEX +103 W by 3
DET +106 L
OAK +132 W by 6

9 win 6 lose + 6.00 units total -0.58

7 alt rl wins

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 23, 2004 at 10:23 AM.]

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 24, 2004 at 07:10 AM.]
 

New member
Joined
Dec 20, 2003
Messages
9,069
Tokens
Awesome thread slapshot. I was just wondering about this. As mentioned earlier, I am also wondering how this has done in past years. My guess it might be alot closer to even. There is a lot of parity right now.


IS

[This message was edited by InSpades on June 23, 2004 at 03:02 AM.]
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
916
Tokens
Road dogs are supposed to be the only sub-set showing a long-term profit ( small). I think you need to pick your spots. I'd say this is a fluke, so far (assuming info is accurate ).

I always look to bet dogs first, but this system is to easy to work, many would be on it, and prices would adjust accordingly !

Doug
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,587
Messages
13,452,618
Members
99,423
Latest member
lbplayer
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com