I like the Cubs (Clement), but you can probably find better than -165.
Clement hasn't allowed more than 4 runs in a game (in fact, has only allowed 4 runs 4 times all year, none since June 2).
Last 7 games, Clement has allowed 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 3, runs. But he hasn't won any of them!
Can't blame a guy for poor run-support. If anything, this gives Clement some value. If he had won 4-5 of his last 7 starts, he'd probably be a bigger favorite against Cincy.
As for Cincy, I think they're ready to begin their typical mid-season swoon. Plus, Cubs have already seen Wilson twice. I seriously doubt Wilson can maintain his 3.59 ERA. I think his great season begins to fall apart tomorrow.