tuesday plays-thoughts

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Sep 20, 2004
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pitt
pitt under
philly
mil under
col
sfran undre
twins

l vs. l matchup.
wsox under
dodgers under
kc nder
a's under


i think houston, cubs, arizona, and la have cost me over 100 units since the allstar break.

rethinking units after tonights mess.

did a home dog cover?
 

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you will bounce back.you have done extremely well.you were due for a bad night.keep up the good work.it seems not rating the plays and playing them equal works better.i could be wrong.i dont use run lines,so watching your regular plays,it seems the 2 and 3 units are doing the best as far as winning percentage.i wouldnt change the way you look at games,just rate them more evenly?i dont know.i'm just going by post all star break numbers.
 

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Hey truelyhandicapping. I was just throwing out a little joke in the other thread BTW. But after reading over your pick thread, I do have a legit question.

You said "if someone is worried about 30 cents they shouldn't be betting to start with.
and if you pick baseball games because of the line, you have serious problems."

What do you mean by that?
 
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i mean i handicap my games, picking the ones i like, then i bet them.


i don't worry about the line being -145 or -162, it doesn't matter to me. or an over under at 8-, or 9. example the cubs last week with madduxx i loved the under, then i saw it at 6-, ouch-but i still took it. final score 4-0. it didn't matter, see my point.

but i don't take fav in the 200's, unless i feel it is so sure of a win. i took the yanks once this year as a 20 unit play -185 or something, very rare for me.

so that is the 30 cents i'm talking about, meaning 30 dollars.
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lefty vs lefty matchups

5 units
seattle under 8- +103
kc under 9- -123
wsox under 9 -108
dodgers under 8 -108

3 units
pitt +136
pitt under 8- -103
philly -132
mil under 9 -109
sfran under 9 -125
twins -152
-1- +139
dodgers -1- +147
mets -1- +144
bosox -1- -113
**another seattle under 8- +103

5 units*these plays are what i have working on.they havent really done that well yet.
yanks -1- -125
arizona +127
det -148
mets -155
dodgers -162

8 units
seattle +135
 

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