Yesterday 1-2 -1.60 units
Y-T-D (on this site) 20-32 (-11.97 units)
Florida +1.15 over MONTREAL
Can’t recall the last time the Expos were the chalk and that’s why this choice is not a difficult one. Fact is, any take-back against this edition of le Expos is worthy of attention. They are last in the majors in team batting average at .240. They are last in runs scored with 319. No team in the majors has scored less then 400 runs so far, that’s how far behind Montreal is. They’re last in every offensive category known to man and their chances of losing are far greater then winning. That’s why they’re 36-61. They can make any pitcher look like Bob Gibson. Don’t care who’s pitching or what the situation is. Bottom line here is that when a tag is being offered against the Expos you can get in line behind me. Only way I pass this one up is if I had tomorrow’s fish wrap and even then I’d have to think about it. Play Florida +1.15 (Risking 1.6 units).
San Francisco +1.50 over ST. LOUIS
Giants are playing great baseball and we find some tremendous value on them here as they go for the sweep. No reason they can’t get it. Jerome Williams has been the Giants second best starter all year and rarely doesn’t give the Giants a chance to win. He’s logged 114 innings thus far, yielding just 112 hits and 38 walks. His ERA over his past 3 games is an even 3.00 and he’s surrendered just one jack over that stretch covering 18 innings. It’s been hit and miss for Matt Morris all season. His lousy performances have been shadowed by the Cardinals success so far so nobody is making much of it. Fact is, Morris has an ERA near 5.00 and he’s been tagged for 21 hits and 11 earned runs over his past 14 innings of work. St. Louis is a good team, I’m fully aware of that, however, the Giants are a damn good team too and prices like this on quality teams, with the better pitcher going, are a must take, period. Play San Francisco +1.50 (Risking 1.6 units).
LOS ANGELES –1½ +2.00 over San Diego
Lay the 11 cents if you prefer but I’m laying the extra half run here and taking back 2-1. Dodgers are playing with a passion that hasn’t been seen at Chavez Ravine in some time and aside from that, they’re very good. Dodgers are destroying everything in their path and in fact, have won nine of their past 10 including a 12-2 thumping they put on this intruder last night. Padres will send Adam Eaton to the hill and he struggles more often then not. Eaton has just 5 wins in 19 starts and his ERA on the year is 4.62. On the road it’s 4.88 and you have to consider that he’s facing the hottest team in the majors right now. Furthermore, this is a day game after a night game and there’s a good chance that some of the Padres regulars will get a day off here. This will be the Padres tenth straight road game and in the first two games of this series, they hit .171 and .212 respectively, and thus, a few changes for the finale seem to be in order. . Jeff Weaver has been steady all year and in fact, in 124 innings of work, the opposition has gone yard on him just nine times. Padres fatigued? Perhaps, whatever the case, the Dodgers are very likely to win here and I’ll take my chances that it’ll be by two runs or more. Play Los Angeles –1½ +2.00 (Risking 1.6 units).
Y-T-D (on this site) 20-32 (-11.97 units)
Florida +1.15 over MONTREAL
Can’t recall the last time the Expos were the chalk and that’s why this choice is not a difficult one. Fact is, any take-back against this edition of le Expos is worthy of attention. They are last in the majors in team batting average at .240. They are last in runs scored with 319. No team in the majors has scored less then 400 runs so far, that’s how far behind Montreal is. They’re last in every offensive category known to man and their chances of losing are far greater then winning. That’s why they’re 36-61. They can make any pitcher look like Bob Gibson. Don’t care who’s pitching or what the situation is. Bottom line here is that when a tag is being offered against the Expos you can get in line behind me. Only way I pass this one up is if I had tomorrow’s fish wrap and even then I’d have to think about it. Play Florida +1.15 (Risking 1.6 units).
San Francisco +1.50 over ST. LOUIS
Giants are playing great baseball and we find some tremendous value on them here as they go for the sweep. No reason they can’t get it. Jerome Williams has been the Giants second best starter all year and rarely doesn’t give the Giants a chance to win. He’s logged 114 innings thus far, yielding just 112 hits and 38 walks. His ERA over his past 3 games is an even 3.00 and he’s surrendered just one jack over that stretch covering 18 innings. It’s been hit and miss for Matt Morris all season. His lousy performances have been shadowed by the Cardinals success so far so nobody is making much of it. Fact is, Morris has an ERA near 5.00 and he’s been tagged for 21 hits and 11 earned runs over his past 14 innings of work. St. Louis is a good team, I’m fully aware of that, however, the Giants are a damn good team too and prices like this on quality teams, with the better pitcher going, are a must take, period. Play San Francisco +1.50 (Risking 1.6 units).
LOS ANGELES –1½ +2.00 over San Diego
Lay the 11 cents if you prefer but I’m laying the extra half run here and taking back 2-1. Dodgers are playing with a passion that hasn’t been seen at Chavez Ravine in some time and aside from that, they’re very good. Dodgers are destroying everything in their path and in fact, have won nine of their past 10 including a 12-2 thumping they put on this intruder last night. Padres will send Adam Eaton to the hill and he struggles more often then not. Eaton has just 5 wins in 19 starts and his ERA on the year is 4.62. On the road it’s 4.88 and you have to consider that he’s facing the hottest team in the majors right now. Furthermore, this is a day game after a night game and there’s a good chance that some of the Padres regulars will get a day off here. This will be the Padres tenth straight road game and in the first two games of this series, they hit .171 and .212 respectively, and thus, a few changes for the finale seem to be in order. . Jeff Weaver has been steady all year and in fact, in 124 innings of work, the opposition has gone yard on him just nine times. Padres fatigued? Perhaps, whatever the case, the Dodgers are very likely to win here and I’ll take my chances that it’ll be by two runs or more. Play Los Angeles –1½ +2.00 (Risking 1.6 units).
