MLB-Tuesday(5*)

Kapusta

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #1

0-1 -480 on Monday, 171-145 -320 overall. 4 plays today.

5 Units-Yankees-140 over the Twins

4 Units-Dodgers-115 over the Marlins

3 Units-Reds+220 over the Cards

3 Units-BlueJays+250 over the RedSox

Just looking to split the Jays or Reds game pretty good value, Good Luck on all your action!!!

 

jaypaw

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #2

nice value on the sox - you could make the case that pedro may have a weaker outing this time after the complete game

although the jays are pretty aweful

I was suprised that some of francomas decisions ended up making sense yesterday

foulke for 2 innings, minQ paying off at 2B and as a lefty in the lineup vs a succeptible pitcher...

this lineup is an adventure every night

 

Kapusta

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #3

Right now I would say Lilly is their best pitcher, gotta give it a shot +250. They do have some crazy lineups. He difinately won't go the distance in this one, (Pedro).

Good Luck today Jaypaw!!

 

jaypaw

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #4

I'm testing out my old alternate RL theory tonight after having taken a bunch of time off from it.

I figure its worth a stab to get back to what's worked for me so well in the past.

Especially when Toronto is over 400!!!!

I know its certainly the least likely to happen of those on the board - but think of this I risk 2 units to win almost 7 - and we know Pedro wont go the distance twice in a row - AND we know that foulke worked 2 innings last night - something we can say with 100% confidence that he wont do tonight...

If lilly can keep the bats quiet (not likely but "if") then it will be up to the rest of the sox bullpen no matter how you slice it.

 

Iwinsometimes

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #5

Hey Kapusta. I do not post much here but I do follow just about everyone's picks. Most of your picks are fairly accurate.

I do not understand your Cincinnati play tonight. St. Louis is the kind of team that goes on 5-7 game winnings streaks, then gives one back. I was wondering why you think tonight is the night for the Cardinals to lose at Busch?

GL tonight
-Iwin

 

jaypaw

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #6

I think its a value play - taking such a huge number makes sense once and a while because you only have to win about 33% of the time to come out slightly ahead on a +220 play.

I dont know what exactly he sees in particular on this play but I'm sure he could find a couple things at that price...

 

Kapusta

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• Aug 17, 2004

• #7

It's definately a value play till you walk someone in with the bases loaded and 2 outs! Let them hit the fuckin thing!!!!! will ya there are people playing DDDDDDEEEFFFEEENNNSSSSEEEE!!! I might be done till CBB-my best- I'm starting to get burnt. I know it's a long season but- i don't mind a $20 vig on a bet, but bases it's a little too much! Good Luck!