Could Someone Point Me to Basketball Data re. 1Q, 2Q Correlation to Final Score...

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Anyone know the historical results if you were to make a second half bet that a 3 point or less underdog team wins a game straight up under this scenario -

They are behind at half.

They were outscored in the first quarter but
not the second.

I made a straight up bet at half in the Detroit/Memphis NBA game last night that Detroit would win the game...which they did. I was just curious how often that bet wins retroactively.

I don't know if there's any way to generalize that game situation that would be meaningful. Detroit was playing at Memphis as a 3 point dog and was behind by 3 points at the half. The half time bet available was a pick that either Memphis or Detroit wins. I thought Detroit was a better team and had the momentum going in to the half so they might win.

It seems unlikely to me that momentum shifts in a basketball game follow any kind of predictable pattern. You could just as easily assume that Memphis goes into the locker room and makes adjustments that allow them to come back strong in the second half. The fact that Detroit has been outperforming the point spread expections in this early season (they are 8-3 against the spread so far) probably factors in. I'd just like to check my assumption with some historical data.
 

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