DALLAS (19 - 13) at UTAH (17 - 16)
Line: Dallas -3.5, Total 195.5
StatFox Super Situations favoring UTAH to cover the spread:
* Play Against - Road teams (DALLAS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more. (19-2 since 1996.) (90.5%, +16.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 103-95 Utah win in this game. Utah is projected to shoot over 50% from the floor in this game. Based upon that score projection: UTAH is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) when they score 96 to 105 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Avg. score was UTAH 99.9, OPPONENT 95.1
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring UTAH to cover the spread:
* DALLAS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts this season. The average score was DALLAS 93.9, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 2*)
* UTAH is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. The average score was UTAH 95.8, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 2*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring UTAH to cover the spread:
DALLAS is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a road favorite this season.
The average score was DALLAS 92.9, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*)
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was UTAH 90.8, OPPONENT 91.2 - (Rating = 0*)
Key Stats
Both of these teams have been much better at home than on the road this season. Dallas is just 4-11 SU & 2-12 ATS on the road and allowing 101 ppg. Utah is 13-3 Su & 11-5 ATS at home and outscoring opponents by an average of 94-89. The Jazz are also allowing less than 43% FG shooting from the floor in home games.
KANSAS (8 - 2) at COLORADO (6 - 3)
Line: Kansas by 3
No. 13 Kansas tries to win its 13th straight conference opener when it visits Colorado on Friday in the first Big 12 contest for both teams.
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 72-65 Kansas win in this game. Based upon that projection:
COLORADO is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they score 60 to 69 points in a game since 1997.
The average score was COLORADO 65.2, OPPONENT 70.4
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring KANSAS to cover the spread:
COLORADO is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 73.0, OPPONENT 70.6 - (Rating = 3*)
COLORADO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 76.3, OPPONENT 74.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Key Stats:
Kansas has played a slightly tougher schedule than Colorado and is outscoring its opposition by 13 ppg. Colorado outscores it opponents by just 4 ppg. The Jayhawks have also been one of the nation’s toughest teams defensively this season, allowing just 64 ppg and 38% FG shooting.
Series History:
All games in this series since 1997
KANSAS is 12-1 straight up against COLORADO since 1997
All games played at COLORADO since 1997
KANSAS is 5-1 straight up against COLORADO since 1997
Surely the Kansas players who were around last year remember the 1 point defeat they suffered in Colorado last year. They lost 60-59 as a 7-1/2 point favorite. The improved Buffaloes certainly won’t be sneaking up on Kansas this year.
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Line: Dallas -3.5, Total 195.5
StatFox Super Situations favoring UTAH to cover the spread:
* Play Against - Road teams (DALLAS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more. (19-2 since 1996.) (90.5%, +16.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 103-95 Utah win in this game. Utah is projected to shoot over 50% from the floor in this game. Based upon that score projection: UTAH is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) when they score 96 to 105 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Avg. score was UTAH 99.9, OPPONENT 95.1
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring UTAH to cover the spread:
* DALLAS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts this season. The average score was DALLAS 93.9, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 2*)
* UTAH is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. The average score was UTAH 95.8, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 2*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring UTAH to cover the spread:
DALLAS is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a road favorite this season.
The average score was DALLAS 92.9, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*)
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was UTAH 90.8, OPPONENT 91.2 - (Rating = 0*)
Key Stats
Both of these teams have been much better at home than on the road this season. Dallas is just 4-11 SU & 2-12 ATS on the road and allowing 101 ppg. Utah is 13-3 Su & 11-5 ATS at home and outscoring opponents by an average of 94-89. The Jazz are also allowing less than 43% FG shooting from the floor in home games.
KANSAS (8 - 2) at COLORADO (6 - 3)
Line: Kansas by 3
No. 13 Kansas tries to win its 13th straight conference opener when it visits Colorado on Friday in the first Big 12 contest for both teams.
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 72-65 Kansas win in this game. Based upon that projection:
COLORADO is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they score 60 to 69 points in a game since 1997.
The average score was COLORADO 65.2, OPPONENT 70.4
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring KANSAS to cover the spread:
COLORADO is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 73.0, OPPONENT 70.6 - (Rating = 3*)
COLORADO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 76.3, OPPONENT 74.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Key Stats:
Kansas has played a slightly tougher schedule than Colorado and is outscoring its opposition by 13 ppg. Colorado outscores it opponents by just 4 ppg. The Jayhawks have also been one of the nation’s toughest teams defensively this season, allowing just 64 ppg and 38% FG shooting.
Series History:
All games in this series since 1997
KANSAS is 12-1 straight up against COLORADO since 1997
All games played at COLORADO since 1997
KANSAS is 5-1 straight up against COLORADO since 1997
Surely the Kansas players who were around last year remember the 1 point defeat they suffered in Colorado last year. They lost 60-59 as a 7-1/2 point favorite. The improved Buffaloes certainly won’t be sneaking up on Kansas this year.
If you like this type of advanced handicapping info... send us an email and receive a FREE trial: foxsheetstrial@statfox.com
Good luck!
www.FoxSheets.com
