BOSTON (23 - 29) at CLEVELAND (19 - 32)
Line : Cleveland –3.5
** The Boston Celtics can extend their winning streak over the Cleveland Cavaliers to 14 games on Monday when they continue a season-high seven-game road trip at Gund Arena.
StatFox Super Situations favoring BOSTON to cover the spread:
** Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a road win scoring 110 or more points, second half of the season. (31-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 3*)
** Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. (29-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)
StatFox Super Situations favoring BOSTON against the money line:
* Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a home loss, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (121-48 since 1996.) (71.6%, +68.3 units. Rating = 4*)
* Play On - Any team vs the money line (BOSTON) - off a road win against a division rival, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. (50-16 since 1996.) (75.8%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*)
* Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor offensive team (88-92 PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more. (22-6 since 1996.) (78.6%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
* Play On - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, second half of the season. (27-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (58.7%, +31.3 units. Rating = 5*)
* Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (22-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +18.9 units. Rating = 4*)
In 250 simulated games, The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 91-91 average score in this game. Both teams are projected to shoot around 43%.
Key Facts and Stats:
Both teams come in struggling a bit, as Boston had lost six in a row before a 30 point win at Philadelphia on Saturday. That was possibly the Celtics best game of the year. Surprisingly, Boston has played its best ball on the road this year, going 12-12 SU & 14-10 ATS, as compared to 11-17 at home. Cleveland, meanwhile, has lost three straight, both SU & ATS. The Cavaliers are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
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SAN DIEGO ST (12 - 10) at BYU (13 - 7)
Line: BYU –10.5
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 77-61 BYU win in this game. The Cougars are also expected to outshoot San Diego State by about 10% from both 2pt & 3pt land. Based upon the estimated projections:
Here are some potential StatFox Power Trends favoring BYU to cover the spread:
* BYU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home games in games where their opponents make 36% to 41% of their shots over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BYU 71.6, OPPONENT 55.3
* BYU is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in games where they make 48% to 53% of their shots since 1997.
The average score was BYU 76.1, OPPONENT 65.1
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games when they score 70 to 79 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.The average score was BYU 75.3, OPPONENT 61.3
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring BYU to cover the spread:
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997. The average score was BYU 79.9, OPPONENT 66.5 - (Rating = 0*)
* BYU is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was BYU 77.3, OPPONENT 61.4 - (Rating = 0*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring BYU to cover the spread:
* BYU is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BYU 74.3, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 1*)
* BYU is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all home games this season. (10-0 SU) The average score was BYU 80.5, OPPONENT 60.5 - (Rating = 0*)
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite since 1997. The average score was BYU 72.1, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Series History:
BYU is 10-3 SU against San Diego St since ’96, including 5-0 at home. The average score of the games played at BYU is 76-61.
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Daytona 500 – Sunday February 15th, 2004
The StatFox NASCAR coverage contains a number of valuable features including: a simulator for both the qualifying and race, top driver trends for the race, updated series stats and power rating, a detailed page for every race driver with key statistics, a set of editorial previews for the race and every driver, and a matchup analyzer, enabling the user to pit one driver against another to aid in matchup head to head wagering.
Recent Daytona 500’s, and all other restrictor plate races for that matter, have been dominated by DEI teammates Dale Earnhardt, Jr., and Michael Waltrip. The latter is the defending champion of this race and has won two Daytona 500’s and three of the last six races here overall. Both of those drivers remain the favorites for this year’s event, but several others feel just as confident about their chances to win. Kevin Harvick and Jimmie Johnson top that list, both coming off career best seasons. Harvick and Johnson have consistently battled the DEI cars at the front of the pack in recent Superspeedway races. Ward Burton, Jeff Gordon, and Ryan Newman, would have to be considered contenders as well. Burton is a recent winner here, Newman seems to be able to win anywhere, and Gordon is a multi Daytona 500 winner, taking the ’97 & ’99 checkered flags. Only Dale Jarrett (3x) and Sterling Marlin (2x) join Waltrip and Gordon on the list of active drivers who have won more than once at the Daytona 500.
Race Number: #1 of 36 races in the 2004 season, Track Name: Daytona International Speedway
Average race finish time: 3:10:00, Average Speed: 152.39 MPH, Average # of cautions: 6 - 25 laps
Average # of lead changes: 21
Average # of drivers leading: 10
Daytona 500 - Recent Top Finishers:
Year 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
2003 Michael Waltrip Kurt Busch Jimmie Johnson Kevin Harvick Mark Martin
2002 Ward Burton Elliott Sadler Geoff Bodine Kurt Busch Michael Waltrip
2001 Michael Waltrip Dale Earnhardt, Jr. Rusty Wallace Ricky Rudd Bill Elliott
2000 Dale Jarrett Jeff Burton Bill Elliott Rusty Wallace Mark Martin
1999 Jeff Gordon Dale Earnhardt Kenny Irwin Mike Skinner Michael Waltrip
1998 Dale Earnhardt Bobby Labonte Jeremy Mayfield Ken Schrader Rusty Wallace
1997 Jeff Gordon Terry Labonte Ricky Craven Bill Elliott Sterling Marlin
1996 Dale Jarrett Dale Earnhardt Ken Schrader Mark Martin Jeff Burton
1995 Sterling Marlin Dale Earnhardt Mark Martin Ted Musgrave Dale Jarrett
1994 Sterling Marlin Ernie Irvan Terry Labonte Jeff Gordon Morgan Shepherd
1993 Dale Jarrett Dale Earnhardt Geoff Bodine Hut Stricklin Jeff Gordon
Daytona 500 - top driver performance trends:
* Jimmie Johnson's average finish over the past 5 races is 2.4. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 5 top 10 finishes.
* Jeff Gordon's average finish over the past 5 races is 7.2. In 5 races, he has 2 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.
* Jimmie Johnson's average finish at Daytona International Speedway is 11.0. In 4 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
* Greg Biffle's average finish at Daytona International Speedway is 11.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 1 top 10 finish.
* Jimmie Johnson's average finish in races with a very high winnings payout is 11.3. In 4 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
* Kevin Harvick's average finish in races with a very high winnings payout is 11.4. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
* Dale Earnhardt, Jr.'s average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.4. In 16 races, he has 5 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.
* Ricky Craven's average finish in February races is 13.0. In 17 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
* Mark Martin's average finish in February races is 13.1. In 25 races, he has 1 win and 15 top 10 finishes.
Are you interested in a FREE trial to the most advanced sports handicapping info available? Send an email to: foxsheetstrial@statfox.com
Enjoy the action and good luck from StatFox!
Line : Cleveland –3.5
** The Boston Celtics can extend their winning streak over the Cleveland Cavaliers to 14 games on Monday when they continue a season-high seven-game road trip at Gund Arena.
StatFox Super Situations favoring BOSTON to cover the spread:
** Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a road win scoring 110 or more points, second half of the season. (31-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 3*)
** Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. (29-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)
StatFox Super Situations favoring BOSTON against the money line:
* Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a home loss, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (121-48 since 1996.) (71.6%, +68.3 units. Rating = 4*)
* Play On - Any team vs the money line (BOSTON) - off a road win against a division rival, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. (50-16 since 1996.) (75.8%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*)
* Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor offensive team (88-92 PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more. (22-6 since 1996.) (78.6%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
* Play On - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, second half of the season. (27-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (58.7%, +31.3 units. Rating = 5*)
* Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (22-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +18.9 units. Rating = 4*)
In 250 simulated games, The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 91-91 average score in this game. Both teams are projected to shoot around 43%.
Key Facts and Stats:
Both teams come in struggling a bit, as Boston had lost six in a row before a 30 point win at Philadelphia on Saturday. That was possibly the Celtics best game of the year. Surprisingly, Boston has played its best ball on the road this year, going 12-12 SU & 14-10 ATS, as compared to 11-17 at home. Cleveland, meanwhile, has lost three straight, both SU & ATS. The Cavaliers are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
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SAN DIEGO ST (12 - 10) at BYU (13 - 7)
Line: BYU –10.5
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 77-61 BYU win in this game. The Cougars are also expected to outshoot San Diego State by about 10% from both 2pt & 3pt land. Based upon the estimated projections:
Here are some potential StatFox Power Trends favoring BYU to cover the spread:
* BYU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home games in games where their opponents make 36% to 41% of their shots over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BYU 71.6, OPPONENT 55.3
* BYU is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in games where they make 48% to 53% of their shots since 1997.
The average score was BYU 76.1, OPPONENT 65.1
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games when they score 70 to 79 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.The average score was BYU 75.3, OPPONENT 61.3
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring BYU to cover the spread:
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997. The average score was BYU 79.9, OPPONENT 66.5 - (Rating = 0*)
* BYU is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was BYU 77.3, OPPONENT 61.4 - (Rating = 0*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring BYU to cover the spread:
* BYU is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BYU 74.3, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 1*)
* BYU is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all home games this season. (10-0 SU) The average score was BYU 80.5, OPPONENT 60.5 - (Rating = 0*)
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite since 1997. The average score was BYU 72.1, OPPONENT 55.8 - (Rating = 0*)
Series History:
BYU is 10-3 SU against San Diego St since ’96, including 5-0 at home. The average score of the games played at BYU is 76-61.
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Daytona 500 – Sunday February 15th, 2004
The StatFox NASCAR coverage contains a number of valuable features including: a simulator for both the qualifying and race, top driver trends for the race, updated series stats and power rating, a detailed page for every race driver with key statistics, a set of editorial previews for the race and every driver, and a matchup analyzer, enabling the user to pit one driver against another to aid in matchup head to head wagering.
Recent Daytona 500’s, and all other restrictor plate races for that matter, have been dominated by DEI teammates Dale Earnhardt, Jr., and Michael Waltrip. The latter is the defending champion of this race and has won two Daytona 500’s and three of the last six races here overall. Both of those drivers remain the favorites for this year’s event, but several others feel just as confident about their chances to win. Kevin Harvick and Jimmie Johnson top that list, both coming off career best seasons. Harvick and Johnson have consistently battled the DEI cars at the front of the pack in recent Superspeedway races. Ward Burton, Jeff Gordon, and Ryan Newman, would have to be considered contenders as well. Burton is a recent winner here, Newman seems to be able to win anywhere, and Gordon is a multi Daytona 500 winner, taking the ’97 & ’99 checkered flags. Only Dale Jarrett (3x) and Sterling Marlin (2x) join Waltrip and Gordon on the list of active drivers who have won more than once at the Daytona 500.
Race Number: #1 of 36 races in the 2004 season, Track Name: Daytona International Speedway
Average race finish time: 3:10:00, Average Speed: 152.39 MPH, Average # of cautions: 6 - 25 laps
Average # of lead changes: 21
Average # of drivers leading: 10
Daytona 500 - Recent Top Finishers:
Year 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
2003 Michael Waltrip Kurt Busch Jimmie Johnson Kevin Harvick Mark Martin
2002 Ward Burton Elliott Sadler Geoff Bodine Kurt Busch Michael Waltrip
2001 Michael Waltrip Dale Earnhardt, Jr. Rusty Wallace Ricky Rudd Bill Elliott
2000 Dale Jarrett Jeff Burton Bill Elliott Rusty Wallace Mark Martin
1999 Jeff Gordon Dale Earnhardt Kenny Irwin Mike Skinner Michael Waltrip
1998 Dale Earnhardt Bobby Labonte Jeremy Mayfield Ken Schrader Rusty Wallace
1997 Jeff Gordon Terry Labonte Ricky Craven Bill Elliott Sterling Marlin
1996 Dale Jarrett Dale Earnhardt Ken Schrader Mark Martin Jeff Burton
1995 Sterling Marlin Dale Earnhardt Mark Martin Ted Musgrave Dale Jarrett
1994 Sterling Marlin Ernie Irvan Terry Labonte Jeff Gordon Morgan Shepherd
1993 Dale Jarrett Dale Earnhardt Geoff Bodine Hut Stricklin Jeff Gordon
Daytona 500 - top driver performance trends:
* Jimmie Johnson's average finish over the past 5 races is 2.4. In 5 races, he has 0 wins and 5 top 10 finishes.
* Jeff Gordon's average finish over the past 5 races is 7.2. In 5 races, he has 2 wins and 4 top 10 finishes.
* Jimmie Johnson's average finish at Daytona International Speedway is 11.0. In 4 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
* Greg Biffle's average finish at Daytona International Speedway is 11.0. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 1 top 10 finish.
* Jimmie Johnson's average finish in races with a very high winnings payout is 11.3. In 4 races, he has 0 wins and 2 top 10 finishes.
* Kevin Harvick's average finish in races with a very high winnings payout is 11.4. In 5 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes.
* Dale Earnhardt, Jr.'s average finish at track type - RESTRICTOR PLATE TRACK is 12.4. In 16 races, he has 5 wins and 10 top 10 finishes.
* Ricky Craven's average finish in February races is 13.0. In 17 races, he has 0 wins and 7 top 10 finishes.
* Mark Martin's average finish in February races is 13.1. In 25 races, he has 1 win and 15 top 10 finishes.
Are you interested in a FREE trial to the most advanced sports handicapping info available? Send an email to: foxsheetstrial@statfox.com
Enjoy the action and good luck from StatFox!
