pre-season dogs

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Been thinking of blindly wagering a small amount on every pre-season dog of +110 or higher.

The rationale is with all the lineup experiments, new player evaluations, not letting top pitchers go too long and the fact that many experienced players(e.g. Bonds) just go through the motions until the regular season starts.

Thinking there might be a value edge taking the dogs.

Any feedback ?
 

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Since I have been paper trading this approach, the +110 dogs are 11 wins-15 losses. I will continue to paper trade the rest of pre-season. Just remind me via reply if you want an update later in the month.
 

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correction- forgot to add in one day.
through tuesday 3/9/04
+110 pre-season dogs are 13 wins-18 losses.
 

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Through Sunday 3-21-04 blindly paper trading all pre-season baseball dogs getting +110 or higher has resulted in 34 wins - 51 losses.
I will update at end of pre-season.
 

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Thats 40% dogs a litlle under the regular season avg. over the last 2-3 years.
 

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