It is probable that the bookie will win. Stick with your feel. The late steam play losers will hurt more than they are worth as you will get the worst number and or vig/juice. If you bet steam, then you need the wise guy plays quickly, which a vast majority of us do not get. If we are unsure of public money or wiseguy money then we are left with our feel or capping method. You feel over.
Good luck