I think those two numbers are very close. I'd figure around 90% chance it lands in the 5 to 11 range so about 13% per #, more on the 8, say 15%. Crunch the numbers and the +140 is slightly better, plus to play it you must think it's going over 8 so why not put out less future $ for a better return. I say +140 but if it were 10 or cents less then I'd say the -130.
