Betting on baseball: Laying 1.5 runs (-1.5)...is this a good strategy or is it too risky?

Search

New member
Joined
Dec 20, 2003
Messages
9,069
Tokens
With heavy favorites, it seems like it would pay off.

Any other opinions?

IS
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
Joined
Jun 21, 2003
Messages
25,128
Tokens
I would only lay it with road favs. You get 9 innings of at-bats.
 

New member
Joined
Jul 20, 2002
Messages
75,154
Tokens
I like to use alt-run line with road dogs. Lay 1.5 runs with huge plus juice. Example tonight would be Detroit -1.5 +256 (Pinn.) Maroth/Dickey over Texas. By playing visitor you are guarnteed 9 at bats.


wil.
 

The world would be a whole lot better if everyone
Joined
Sep 21, 2002
Messages
1,514
Tokens
Good advice. It never worked for me, but the 9 at bats makes sense. I will look at that more.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 20, 2002
Messages
3,291
Tokens
No, but if you must, Wil's road dog theory is good angle, as you get inflated numbers, and if a fav is gonna blow outright in surprise spots, many blow royal when doing it..to get all emissions out the tank.

Too dangerous with chalk, as they still are even or fav often, and many good teams get played off their @sses, while counting on their pens to close out one run games.

It's hard enough to just pick winners, let alone winners by 2 runs, in a game where the majority of stats are measured in three digit decimals.
 

SSI

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
14,040
Tokens
if you use this, you must play the visitor and get the juice..... others have mentioned this and it is correct....
 

"When you win, say little; when you lose, say less
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,315
Tokens
Last season I tracked right here in the bases forum how the RLF -1.5 did. The answer: it came in less than 40% of the time. The RLU was more likely to cash (over 60%).

I didn't track RL performance by Visitors or Home, nor did I track the payouts. This is important, as RLFs are usually priced at +$, while RLUs are usually priced at -$.

I agree with with others in here: don't take Home RLFs.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,907
Messages
13,439,498
Members
99,345
Latest member
08winlink
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com