Question for BB Money Makers

sportsmonitor · Apr 16, 2004

I'm interested in wagering on baseball and wondered how I can successfully make money on this sport hitting 56% of my games. Let's say for example I like 3 games tonight.

1) Houston -1.5 -124
2) Cleveland -1.5 +117
3) K.C. +1.5 -156

What is the best way to wager on these games without getting burned. Lets say I wager $100 apiece on each game. Would this be the correct method of wagering on baseball games, or is there another alternative to wagering on baseball to come out ahead in the long run?

ClayHenry · Apr 16, 2004

I think playing KC -156 +1.5 is crazy, if you like the Royals you should bet them to win outright IMO.

sportsmonitor · Apr 16, 2004

A good example of why I asked this question. Win 2 out of 3 games but lose $150 on K.C. trying to win $100. In order to keep my system like last year of 56% winning percentage I had to stick with playing the Royals. Hopefully somebody will have a post on here someday on how to be more successful at wagering on baseball then just picking a couple teams you like and placing $100 on each team. Surely there is a better money management system than that. Maybe money line wagering or some other method must exist.

brewster · Apr 16, 2004

56% is a good number if you are betting into -110 or better lines. However, baseball is a whole different beast. The chalk associated with playing favorites will chew you up quickly.

I would look to play dogs on the ml and if you have to play a fav. take them to cover the 1.5 at plus money. Also, if your team is a dog look to the reverse runline as well.

barman · Apr 16, 2004

You need to establish a base Unit and make most of your plays fromt that.

Using 100 as an example, you would bet Faves at the minus price to WIN 100.

Bet dogs 100 to win the plus money.

This will create balance between your dogs and faves.

If you use 100 for ALL bets, you will be underpaid when you win with a Fave, as compared to an Underdog at same Risk price.

sportsmonitor · Apr 16, 2004

Thanks guys, appreciate the feedback.

GLJJNOVA · Apr 17, 2004

Beware of the Fav traps like Pedro/Sox Thurs, Vazquez/Yanks Fri. You'd be lucky to break even laying this kind of "wood" winning 56%. I prefer to look for value with "live" Dogs like Wakefield/Sox Fri.

Be very selective with your Favs since their losses put a big dent in your bankroll. I prefer to play the run line with my big Favs.

I cringe when I see a guy taking 4 Favs laying odds, knowing he needs to go 3-1 to profit. While someone playing 4 Dogs only needs to go 2-2 to profit.

The key is finding teams that are over and undervalued and betting for or againgst them. Winning % isn't as important as value based capping and money management.

Best Wishes
Gary

sportsmonitor · Apr 17, 2004

Thanks Gary, I understand what you are saying. Tomorrow, Kerry Wood, Josh Beckett, and Schilling are all pitching so I will take what you said into consideration if playing those teams.