Anybody else just grab an overnight, predicting a line move ?

postaldoug · Apr 10, 2004

I just grabbed LAL +3, no capping just judgement, I don't no jack about this game, a no-peek bet ! I'm looking at bases, now. I took this for the nickle max at my free .5 shop. I figure at worst by game- time , I can sell it to SIA at 2-points better, or keep it , I'm pretty good at predicting where their lines will move. Little risk here !

Doug

FairWarning · Apr 11, 2004

Yes - NBA totals. You can get a 3-4 point middle on some nights.

Fishhead · Apr 11, 2004

I would highly recommend 5DIMES for overnights in bases.

TheGeneral+ · Apr 11, 2004

Predicting the moves has always been tough for me.

BoratSagdiyev · Apr 11, 2004

I seem to be right about 70% of the time when it comes to the NFL and not too far off in college football.

TheGeneral+ · Apr 11, 2004

Thats very good Borat. You have to set up some nice middle this way right?

WildBill · Apr 11, 2004

Best rules to follow betting overnights IMO, with the obvious implication if you are going against any of these do the opposite:

1. If your team is "hot", bet them overnight.
2. If you are betting a sizable dog, bet it just before the game.
3. If you are betting a "name" pitcher, take it overnight.
4. If you are betting a big name team, say Yanks, with a bottom of the rotation starter, bet it just before the game.
5. In football the easiest rule is bet favorites as close to open as possible and on dogs as late as possible.
6. If you are betting a national TV game total, especially an MNF, think about the total. If it is a "low" total or "high" total, ie one of the highest or lowest on the board, assume the public will bet the high game over, low game under as the day goes on so adjust accordingly.

Just remember if you are prepared to bet overnights or as early in the week as possible for football you are ahead of 95% of the crowd so that alone is an edge.

BoratSagdiyev · Apr 12, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by The General:
Thats very good Borat. You have to set up some nice middle this way right?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

If I don't like the original side I picked then yes I go for middle if I like original side I maybe put few rubbles on other side and root for original team and make couple more bucks if land in middle.