Strange line at Pinny......

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Mon 2/9 701 Boston Celtics +3.5 -102 +162 OVER 199 +110
04:05 PM 702 Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 -108 -177 UNDER 199 -120


over/under that is...

what are they trying to draw you into here?
 

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assumption must be made that they only want action on the over...does this mean that the under -199-105 is a good bet tonite folks?
 

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I can tell you are super sharp, sportsavant.

You and I know that its a 5 cent move per half.

I saw one last week at +117 so I have no idea what they were trying to do.

Pinnacle bets also so they may be trying to manipulate line movements in shops who only move the number and not the juice.
 

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IMO, the total on the game seems a tad high, so they are trying to get some over action.

I played Boston +4 and Cavs Under 101 earlier.

GL.
 

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I wish I saw that earlier!

Free money!
icon_wink.gif
 

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Pinnacle's flat line is -05, so Cavs -3 1/2 lay -08 is pretty much like Cavs -3 1/2 lay -15 any where else, -3 1/2 -115 is basically the same as -4, so not really anything wierd about that number.
On the total the middle line ac**** the board is 198 1/2, 199 under -115 would pretty much be the same number, in Pinnacles -05 flat terms, under -08 would be about the same. So as Apollo says they want over money, or they like under, or both.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> so not really anything wierd about that number. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

I beg to differ.....

most shops had 198.5 or 199 wether they were a reduced vig shop or not....Pinnacle was offering the juiciest line if you like the over & the worst line if you like the under...

I would suggest that over 199 + 110 is more valuable than over 198.5 -105. I beleive that 15 cents for that 1/2 point will make u money in the long run...now there may still have been the odd 198 out there but there were none posted on the RX live line.
 

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I said there was nothing wierd about the side not the total.

They obviously like the under. The middle is 198 1/2, the range is from 198-199 with most at 198 1/2. Of course if you like the over, 199 over +110 is a better value than 198 1/2 over -105. 198 1/2 over -105, based on a -10 flat line is 198, 199 under -120 is 197 1/2 -110, based on standard -10 juice, Pinnacle's flat line is -05 so that means it's an even lower number, roughly 197.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> I said there was nothing wierd about the side not the total.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

oh, sorry, thought you meant the total...
 

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over 199 +110 is the roughly the same as over 197.5 -105.
Each half is worth around 5 cents.
This is a very strong opinion on the under.
 

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fish, do u hv a lean on that game...I got down early on over 197...so dont know wether to hold or hedge...
 

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Savant- From a technical standpoint no.

But on TNT games if the OVER moves up 2 or more points, I usually like to side with the UNDER at the BEST possible number I can gobble up.

All in all, do what YOU think is best here as I have no opinion basically other than the TNT factor mentioned.
 

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Please note however, I have 10 x more respect for the early moves on totals than I do on the ones 30 miniutes or less prior to tip-off.
 

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please note this game is fixed and the final score will be Celtics 92 Cleveland 90.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by -SLIM-:
please note this game is fixed and the final score will be Celtics 92 Cleveland 90.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Slim, if I tell my buddies this at HAPPY HOUR in 30 miniutes, this line is dropping to 195 quickly!!
icon_biggrin.gif
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by FISHHEAD:
May be a reverse trap.

Proceed with caution.

guil.gif
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

I'm assuming that was a joke?
icon_rolleyes.gif
 

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Well Pinnacle wins theoir first opinion

check this out:

lets see if they win their second

Mon 2/9 707 San Antonio Spurs pk -106 OVER 81.5 -138
06:50 PM 708 Houston Rockets pk -110 UNDER 81.5 +122
 

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at one point pinn had that game at 81o16 compared to 81.5 ac****..... they must of being getting action on the over so they moved the line to 81.5o38? they only way in my opinion is to watch the lines all day long and then you MAY be able to figure out what is going on with the lines. SPORTSAVANT why would you consider that to be an opinon from pinn? my opinon they moved the line up due to action.

[This message was edited by moon88 on February 10, 2004 at 11:46 AM.]
 

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