does anyone think 28-1 on Carolina to win Superbowl is an underlay?

I asked 28-1 at ehorse X during the day and a person took it $50 worth. That seems like an underlay for me.

There is all the Carolina you want at 25-1 currently. Im thinking of trying for some more of the 28-1.

am I off base here? Im figuring that GB could beat Philly and Carolina would get another home game if they beat the RAMS.

I think they will have no fear against the RAMS, RAMS can be beat by teams that can tackle and run the ball.

what you need to do is figure it as a ML parlay to the superbowl they are +2.50 this week and then figure the scenarios for next week with the two different matchups

Do as MVPSKI suggests.

At first glance, this appears to have some value to it.

how does this site work? You make offers and people accept them?

Anyone who can further explain this I would greatly appreciate it

I would help you now but I get off work in 3 minutes and then im home

I think 25-1,is just about right.

Carolina has a very good defense and a nice balance offense when working.

Hey, Dilfer & Collins did it.

Jake Delhomme

I may actually take a shot with Carl on $ line this week.Def + the points.Expect to see 7's out there by kick off.Maybe 8s.

ehorsex.

at the exchange you post an asking price and an amount. Like I posted $50 for Carolina
to win the superbowl at 28-1. Some person today (you do not know who) took the wager
(basically risking 1400 to win my 50. the winner of the wager will pay approx 3% commission to ehorse. commission depends on your weekly action and can be between 5% to as low as 2%. The loser pays nothing additional.

Or you can put down an offer for someone at a price. Like Im trying to sell some Green Bay at 11-1 right now because I have a bunch of cash on Green Bay from earlier at 69-1. either way buy or sell like an exchange.

The different wagers are set up by ehorse you dont just get to make something up and post a line. Will a poster get banned by Rx this week No -120 for example is not something you could offer.

the different sports (tennis, soccer, basketball, hockey, football, etc.) are all there.

Even better is the horse racing exchange where you can bet on a horse to win or to lose and make up what odds your comfortable with.

Obviously only a fraction of the offer to buy and sell get taken as action by a different person. Nobody is going to take a joke price on something.

I took NEvada tonight - 1 1/2 points -110 versus HAwaii for example. soembody offered that, I liked NEvada early today. Good move for me as now NEvada is - 2 1/2 at most shops.

the person who put up NEvada - 1 1/2 -110 can take that offer DOWN at anytime. Anything you offer is fluid, you can adjust it take it down

but since I bought that contract I can no longer cancel it unless I offer a sell price at the same amount and a person takes it.

Once confirmed its in. One time I got a horse at over 320-1 that ended up gong off at only 45-1 and it won and I got the money, somebody, not the book lost on that. it can happen, great prices. Ive also lost on a horse I offered 3-1 on a horse that ended up going off at 6-1 at the track and that 6-1 horse won for fun killing me! If I had time I could have played that same horse at 5dimes to win (and get that 10% win bonus) and locked in a for sure profit but I did not. I thought my 3-1 was a steal and I had a huge edge. (Somebody knew that horse would win and only played him at ehorsex as far as I can tell! and I paid him)

Its pretty fun. No races tonight so I dont knwo what to do with myself!


And this softward which must have taken millions to develop is super fast, very easy, and very flexible.

I used to have accounts at 10-12 sportsbooks and check them constantly for lines and props and value plays. Now Im on ehorsex 80% of my on line time and have no time for many of the other places except here of course! 10% here, and 10% at EBAY!

check them out. They have a very easy tutorial to show you the method to wager and make and place wagers step by step.

And they pay Horizon 20 group.

Maybe it is just me, but I wouldnt take Carolina at 200 to 1 to win the super bowl. They have NO CHANCE to win the super bowl. For that matter, I would take them at 25 to 1 to win the NFC. No chance to win this week much less next week and I usually LOVEEEE underdogs

its really a matter of is it an overlay. if they get another round and that a big if can you sell some back and make some profit. if you think no chance to win this week then you can sell Carolina at 30-1 for hundreds manybe thousands by kickoff (but you need to have a bunch of cash in your account to cover it until the superbowl is over).

one interesting play is No on Boston Red Sox to win the World Series next year.

No is only -430. This is a team that for whatever reason cant win the world series ever and yet right now you can lay only -430 that The REd Sox will not win the World Series. That is value. Talk about 200-1

you can even lay 1000-1 that Detroit will not win the World Series next year! granted lots of cash tied up for the $10 offered right now!

I am not even sure what site we are talking about, but the odds that site will go under by next year is a better bet than taking carolina to win it all.


Yes maybe Carolina has value in it, but remember that a bet has NO VALUE at all if it absolutely cannot win

i had the marlins at 250:1 to win the world series last year at 5 dimes...don't tell me a bet like carolina winning it all has absolutely no chance. anything can happen. this team has won a lot of close games this year. they beat indy in the dome this year...they can beat st. louis.

the site will not go under due to the odds. the players post up and offer these prices. Only when there are no more players posting up and offereing and buying will the place go under. They go on commission for every settled wager (About 3%). they take no risk at all. Im sure they have a staff and stuff but no other risk. Unless they are active on the exchange?

I think you are better off parlaying it on an ML basis. Even if they win this week, they will be playing a very public team next week, either the best NFC team in Philly or the Pack. You will get good value on the ML. Then the Superbowl they will surely be dogs unless somehow Indy gets there unconvincingly as I think they would be dogs against any other AFC team. I figure it this way as most likely:

+240 this week
+350 next week at Philly (implies being a double digit dog which I think it very feasible as the public betting really picks up on a public team)
+200 Superbowl, and it will be higher if the Pats play them without a doubt. (about a 6.5 point dog on average)

The math becomes 3.4*4.5*3 = 45.9 for 1, or almost 45-1. You can see how easily this one blows up and loses its value. You would have to have a lot of things go in your favor. And mind you this is taking the dog odds. The "true" odds, odds without the vig included are even worse.

wow you are right.

if the pack wins wouldnt Carolina play that game at home ? if so it would completely change the payoff price and off the top of my head I would say they would be around 3.5 fav but not sure who would have home field if they meet like I said you have a few scenarios you have to look at

A public team like the Pack with all the sympathy for Favre would never in a million years be a 3.5 dog at the Panthers, no way no how. If that was the matchup I would guess close to a pick, although I could easily see the Pack being a couple point favorite. In that case 3.4*2*3=20.4, which means you have a bit of a value if you get the Panthers at even money, but once again the far more likely scenario is a game in Philly and very likely a high dog price. I think the Pack line of getting just 5 against a strong Philly team at home shows just how much the public is willing to support the Pack so I see no chance of the Pack being a dog, even if the Panthers get the home field.