It's close, but I'd say not. I'd pay 6 points per side for that and that is 7.5 pts per side. If it was -105 both ways I'd say abolsutley.
mvb's statement that you should never play for just one number is nonsense. It all depends on the odds. I play 1/2 point sides if the odds are right. Heck, what if it's free!? If you were offered -6-105 and +6.5+103 you'd take it right? I'd be all over that like white on rice.
What you need to calculate is the payoff odds per number and then decide if those odds are greater than the chance of the event happening.
mvb's statement that you should never play for just one number is nonsense. It all depends on the odds. I play 1/2 point sides if the odds are right. Heck, what if it's free!? If you were offered -6-105 and +6.5+103 you'd take it right? I'd be all over that like white on rice.
What you need to calculate is the payoff odds per number and then decide if those odds are greater than the chance of the event happening.
SOS, you're underrating middles. Even with -110's you do not need 2.5 pts separation to make profit in either NBA or college. 2.0 pts is easily profitable and in many cases 1.5 pts is as well. And while there may not be "key numbers", certainly some numbers are better than others. College hoops middles are droppin' like flies today BTW, the oddsmakers were on the ball today.
mvbski:
The reduced vig doesn't change the % of certain margin of victories in hoops though. My example was void of any vig at all.
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You don't need more than a 1 pt separation to make a profit doing middles either -- if you pick the right ones. I'm speaking from a probability and value standpoint.
Can you direct me to any large sample size studies that show any key numbers in hoops?
The reduced vig doesn't change the % of certain margin of victories in hoops though. My example was void of any vig at all.
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You don't need more than a 1 pt separation to make a profit doing middles either -- if you pick the right ones. I'm speaking from a probability and value standpoint.
Can you direct me to any large sample size studies that show any key numbers in hoops?
