Inside the Lines ... College Preview with Dave Johnson
Saturday November 14 Preview
The following review is meant to give the player an "Inside Look" at some of the causes of line movements on football games throughout the week. This information should be taken seriously by the player, but not used as the sole basis to make his decisions on the upcoming games.
The following games were selected for review because they have received attention from either the Wiseguys or Public players throughout this past week.
Florida vs South Carolina at Williams-Brice Stadium 12:30 Eastern
The fact that Florida has moved into first place in the SEC means little for their chances of reaching a Bowl Game. The winner of the East will be determined according to the team's final standing in the BCS, and not on its conference standing.
The Public is coming in strong on this game. They continue to lay Florida -7. With South Carolina leading rusher Demetrius Summers expected to miss with a concussion, you can expect to see Florida -7.5 by game time. Remember, however, that head coaches play a big role in wins/losses in college football. Don't expect a team led by Lou Holtz to be less than ready to play on Saturday.
Virginia Tech vs Temple at Citizens Bank Park
The Hokies celebrated a little too much after beating the Hurricanes two weeks ago. Their lack of intensity, since then has dashed their chances of a berth in the BCS Bowl and the big East title, especially when they lost to #25 Pittsburgh last week.
Their spiral downward, however, has done little to dash the hopes of the gambling world. The Wiseguys and Public bettors are burying the Hokies. The game opened -24.5 and has moved to -26 and -26.5 as the Public and Wiseguys have continued to bet Virginia Tech. If the trend continues, expect to see the Hokies as a -27 to -28 favorite by game time.
Purdue vs Ohio State at Ohio Stadium 3:30 Eastern
The battle of the Big Ten is one of our most heavily bet games of the week. The Wiseguys came in early in the week and took all the Purdue +4.5. The game has moved to 3.5, but there is heavy opposition from the Public. We are being bet 30 to 1 on the Buckeyes.
The Buckeyes need this game if they are to have any hope of playing the Sugar Bowl. However, they still have Michigan to beat next week, and the possibility of a surprise upset by a hungry Purdue team could make this game exciting. Normally, the game would go to -4, but with heavy Wiseguy opposition expect it to stay -3 or -3.5.
Michigan vs Northwestern @ Ryan Field 3:30 Eastern
This is another Big Ten matchup, but without all the drama. Michigan needs the game for a share of the conference title, and perhaps earn a bid for the Rose Bowl. Northwestern is coming off a comeback win vs. Penn State last week and has a little momentum on their side at home since Michigan is coming off a bye.
Northwestern was bet early by the Wiseguys at +20. There are no substantial injuries for either team. One has to assume the Wiseguys feel that Michigan could be looking past Northwestern to the critical matchup with Ohio State next week. Looking past a fellow Big Ten team like Northwestern could be a huge mistake.
Cincinatti vs TCU at Amon C. Cater Stadium 3:00 Eastern
TCU has lost only two games since opening day of last season. One of those losses was to Cincinatti. TCU has jumped to fourth place in the BCS Standings and looks to hold on in order to acquire one of the four most lucrative Bowl Games. The Public believes they can do it and is currently laying the Frog's at a ratio of 29 to 1. The game opened TCU -6 and quickly went to -7 as the money started rolling in on the Frogs.
The Wiseguys have done nothing with the game, but if it goes to TCU -7.5, you might see some take back on Cincinatti. The fact that the Bearcats beat TCU last season, coupled with the pressure of remaining undefeated, could warrant a small play on the Bearcats.
Kansas State vs Nebraska at Memorial Stadium 3:30 Eastern
A win by either team guarantees at least a share of the Big 12 North title. The game opened a pick, and the Wiseguys have hit us hard all week on Kansas State. The game went from a pick to Kansas State -1, -1.5, -2 and now sits at -2.5. The Public has been undecided on the game. We have an even number of bets coming in on the Wildcats and the Huskers.
Keep in mind that Kansas State has never played well in Lincoln. The Cornhuskers have won the last 17 matchups, between the two, played at Memorial Stadium. With no substantial injuries to either team, and with so much at stake for such a close divisional rivalry, don't expect to see 3's on the game.
Louisiana State vs Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium 7:45 Eastern
The Public loves that number three ranking of LSU. The game opened LSU -7 and remains -7 in spite of the fact we are being bet almost 10 to 1 on LSU.
LSU has the number one rushing defense in the country. The Louisiana rush defense will be put to the test as Alabama boasts the SEC's leading rusher Shaud Williams. Even though the Public favors LSU strongly, don't expect to see the game go to LSU -7.5. LSU is coming off a bye week and is playing on the road against a division rival. There are a lot of factors pointing to some possible sharp money coming in on the Dogs before game time.
Dave Johnson - CEO and founder of BetCBS.com.
Saturday November 14 Preview
The following review is meant to give the player an "Inside Look" at some of the causes of line movements on football games throughout the week. This information should be taken seriously by the player, but not used as the sole basis to make his decisions on the upcoming games.
The following games were selected for review because they have received attention from either the Wiseguys or Public players throughout this past week.
Florida vs South Carolina at Williams-Brice Stadium 12:30 Eastern
The fact that Florida has moved into first place in the SEC means little for their chances of reaching a Bowl Game. The winner of the East will be determined according to the team's final standing in the BCS, and not on its conference standing.
The Public is coming in strong on this game. They continue to lay Florida -7. With South Carolina leading rusher Demetrius Summers expected to miss with a concussion, you can expect to see Florida -7.5 by game time. Remember, however, that head coaches play a big role in wins/losses in college football. Don't expect a team led by Lou Holtz to be less than ready to play on Saturday.
Virginia Tech vs Temple at Citizens Bank Park
The Hokies celebrated a little too much after beating the Hurricanes two weeks ago. Their lack of intensity, since then has dashed their chances of a berth in the BCS Bowl and the big East title, especially when they lost to #25 Pittsburgh last week.
Their spiral downward, however, has done little to dash the hopes of the gambling world. The Wiseguys and Public bettors are burying the Hokies. The game opened -24.5 and has moved to -26 and -26.5 as the Public and Wiseguys have continued to bet Virginia Tech. If the trend continues, expect to see the Hokies as a -27 to -28 favorite by game time.
Purdue vs Ohio State at Ohio Stadium 3:30 Eastern
The battle of the Big Ten is one of our most heavily bet games of the week. The Wiseguys came in early in the week and took all the Purdue +4.5. The game has moved to 3.5, but there is heavy opposition from the Public. We are being bet 30 to 1 on the Buckeyes.
The Buckeyes need this game if they are to have any hope of playing the Sugar Bowl. However, they still have Michigan to beat next week, and the possibility of a surprise upset by a hungry Purdue team could make this game exciting. Normally, the game would go to -4, but with heavy Wiseguy opposition expect it to stay -3 or -3.5.
Michigan vs Northwestern @ Ryan Field 3:30 Eastern
This is another Big Ten matchup, but without all the drama. Michigan needs the game for a share of the conference title, and perhaps earn a bid for the Rose Bowl. Northwestern is coming off a comeback win vs. Penn State last week and has a little momentum on their side at home since Michigan is coming off a bye.
Northwestern was bet early by the Wiseguys at +20. There are no substantial injuries for either team. One has to assume the Wiseguys feel that Michigan could be looking past Northwestern to the critical matchup with Ohio State next week. Looking past a fellow Big Ten team like Northwestern could be a huge mistake.
Cincinatti vs TCU at Amon C. Cater Stadium 3:00 Eastern
TCU has lost only two games since opening day of last season. One of those losses was to Cincinatti. TCU has jumped to fourth place in the BCS Standings and looks to hold on in order to acquire one of the four most lucrative Bowl Games. The Public believes they can do it and is currently laying the Frog's at a ratio of 29 to 1. The game opened TCU -6 and quickly went to -7 as the money started rolling in on the Frogs.
The Wiseguys have done nothing with the game, but if it goes to TCU -7.5, you might see some take back on Cincinatti. The fact that the Bearcats beat TCU last season, coupled with the pressure of remaining undefeated, could warrant a small play on the Bearcats.
Kansas State vs Nebraska at Memorial Stadium 3:30 Eastern
A win by either team guarantees at least a share of the Big 12 North title. The game opened a pick, and the Wiseguys have hit us hard all week on Kansas State. The game went from a pick to Kansas State -1, -1.5, -2 and now sits at -2.5. The Public has been undecided on the game. We have an even number of bets coming in on the Wildcats and the Huskers.
Keep in mind that Kansas State has never played well in Lincoln. The Cornhuskers have won the last 17 matchups, between the two, played at Memorial Stadium. With no substantial injuries to either team, and with so much at stake for such a close divisional rivalry, don't expect to see 3's on the game.
Louisiana State vs Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium 7:45 Eastern
The Public loves that number three ranking of LSU. The game opened LSU -7 and remains -7 in spite of the fact we are being bet almost 10 to 1 on LSU.
LSU has the number one rushing defense in the country. The Louisiana rush defense will be put to the test as Alabama boasts the SEC's leading rusher Shaud Williams. Even though the Public favors LSU strongly, don't expect to see the game go to LSU -7.5. LSU is coming off a bye week and is playing on the road against a division rival. There are a lot of factors pointing to some possible sharp money coming in on the Dogs before game time.
Dave Johnson - CEO and founder of BetCBS.com.
