I like to make 2% of bankroll straight wagers. That is my play the vast majority of the time. When in a slump, which I can say I'm in right now, going 4-9 since the end of last month, which was a very good month, I try to analyze if I have made bad picks, second guessed myself, played too many games. That sort of thing. I no it's not chasing. I haven't done that in a long time now.
Slumps to me indicate one of two things. I am either mentally fried and need at least a few days or more off[once required two months and came back strong]thus making maybe too many plays or simply disregarding certain principles that I would normally apply in my picks,or I'm simply going through one of those inevitable streaks of bad luck which can turn around with any game.
In this instance I will do nothing different except today I am cutting down to one game in the sport I do best in this time of year-- the one I feel strongest about, same 2% though.
The reason for that is that I have looked back at my picks and feel they were solid. Memphis gets backdoored last play of the game, infamous Kentucky OT, KG gets tossed in the 2nd quarter of TWolves game and I miss the team over by one point, and last night Louiville IMO was the right pick.
If I had looked back and seen a string of foolish picks, I would force myself to take some time off. However 4-9 is way to premature.
Thus I could just as easily have been 8-5. No need for changes but I do want a winning day so I play only my best play today. And as I write this I see the Hogs have fumbled the opening kickoff. 3-0. Yikes. Got the Hogs -7.