NBA 'over/under' win totals examined on RX home page.

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IMHO, betting these kind of futures is just plain nuts unless you can land a fat middle - as long as the season is, and as many injuries can occur (and often do), this kind of bet is a royal crapshoot.
 

Rx Managing Editor
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That's true Jazz, but as long as they make it available and get 'action' on it, we might as well offer some info on it. By the way, the story underneath it is about a bettor winning $50,000 on a future book bet on the Florida Marlins.
 

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Missed that - btw, wasn't knocking the article at all, just thought to post my opinion (as usual - lol). Yeah, well, nothing will beat Peteep winning the $40,000 at BG, because he's a poster here - and Carib has had the following posted today, I wonder how much the guy won??? And btw, why is it so freaking hard to use 'paid' instead of the incorrect 'payed' for some books/people?

from Carib:

CONGRATULATIONS MARLINS!

Very Special Congrats to the Florida Marlins and 26548 who bet the Marlins to win it all at 999:1 in early June and again in late June at 500:1

He Played and Carib PAYED!!
 

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Jazz, if you think that is bad, you should have seen some of the sports and gaming articles I have edited for the past 22 years.

BTW, Russ Culver (winner of Hilton SuperContest in 2000) says that a 'sharp' gambler can make some good coin finding holes in future book 'over/under' numbers. Sure, injuries can play havoc with a long-term wager, but an injury at the beginning of a single game is also unavoidable - but part of gambling.

Do you play the NBA on a daily basis?
 

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Charlie you say the T-Wolves opened at 57½. Please say you are joking. It must be a typo. If it is'nt I am heading down to the IP and ask them if they will accept a 6 figure bet on the under.
 

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Chuck, it's currently at 56 1/2 so you better hurry on down. Don't you think Minnesota's addition's will improve the team from last year's 51 wins?
 

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TWolves look like this year's Mavs. They will win a lot of games and maybe get their first series win in the playoffs, but crash before the end.
 

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Hey, how ya doin' Wild Bill? Are you a big Dean Martin fan? Any NBA team in that list interest you?
 

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Charlie, Minn Win Total at 56½ is too high for Minnesota. You may want to double check that number. I just checked another website and it says Minn opened 55 at the IP. That sounds right.
 

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Got the sheet faxed to me again today Chuck. It is 56 1/2. I will check it again Monday morning though if you think it's fishy. Are there any other teams you like on that list?
 
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I posted some NBA regular season wins scalps in the NBA forum.
 

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Charlie I like the Wizards Over 30½. I believe they are a better team without MJ. Eddie Jordan, new coach of the Wiz was considered the "real" coach for the Nets is well respected and should get them over the total. Pacers Under 49. This team has looked terrible in the pre season. Artest has'nt changed, O'Neal is now an overpaid chump. Mid 40 win total for them is all I see for them.
 

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chcuky, I have the IP opener sheet right in front of me, Wolves opened at 55. Don't know where it went from there.
 

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Charlie, made an early night of it last night so didn't respond until now. I'm an S&M bettor (ask Pancho Sanza what that means if you don't already know) for the most part, though I will jump all over a prop if I think the value is there (like riding that Kenny Lofton 'first on base' prop to serious scores in the playoffs). And of course I was on the Cubs to win the WS, BUT for a futures that had a relatively short time-line and was hedgeable as soon as they made the playoffs. Futures like this I stay far away from because you won't get paid for what, 5-6 months? Plus, it's usually not a small amount you're locking up for that long - I'd much rather be turning that money over in S&M-ing, where I can generally get a much better return.

Do I bet daily on the NBA? Uh, well, depends if the M part of S&M-ing would be considered betting - 'nuff said
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Wise Guy
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Hey Jazz, Just had to respond to your comments.
I have been playing futures for over 20 years now and concentrate on them more and more the last 5 years.
You are indeed correct that tying up your money for 6-8 months is not a good idea in theory, but when you are able to get a 60-120% return on Over/Unders and an enormous return on futures when hit I disagree.
Most people wager on a day to day basis and dont win often enough anyway.
I concentrate specifically on futures, this year hitting on 8 of 10 in baseball, also the Marlins at 100-1 and 50-1 for over 5 figures as well. Last year the Angels at 100-1 and 50-1 and many, many more. The Devils at 8-1, Patriots at 80-1, Ravens at 50-1, Nets at 40-1 and 8-1, 76ers at 15-1 just to mention a few.

By focusing on some select plays I can maximize my profits and help me manage my day to day wagering.

Just ask THE GENERAL on my last few years Future Selections.

Just my thoughts and thank you for yours.
 

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MG: interesting! But I wasn't whacking ALL futures bets, as I've said in some other topic recently, I've bet 3 in the past 2 years (lol) - I was whacking the concept of tying up money in what is usually a -110 bet for that long on overs/unders. I'm certainly not knocking all futures, like Peteep wagering $100 to get $40,000 on the Marlins, because in that case your potential loss is small compared to the payoff - so you're not locking up much of your working capital at all.

If you can get 60-120% return on those over/unders, that is amazing and keep doing it! But let's say you risked a total of 5K over 6 months to win 3K (60% return) - that is a great ROI on your money and by all means you should do it because you're capable of those kind of returns. And if people can actually spot the weak lines and know, then by all means go for it. But I'm not one of them - I don't have the experience at it - so I wouldn't touch it. But for me in particular, I don't want capital locked up that long, because it won't be in play for me in my S&M wagering, which can exceed those returns in a good run (or at least be near) and do so without risk.

Good for you, though, if you can whack those lines like that
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