is possible injuries in intervening weeks. Say you hang a number on the Patriots Vs. the Dolphins in two weeks. Then Tom Brady breaks a leg this week Vs. the Giants. I know injuries happen in practice during the week, but key personnel are much more apt to get badly injured in live games. imo.
wil.
wil.
True wil, but Carib posts those "games of year" all the way to week 17 knowing exactly what you just stated. In the end, they claim they break about even with these future lines, because in cases like you've stated, regarding injuries, etc., it could favor the bettor or the company.
The people who laid money on the Pats in my example would get the worst of it. Definetely a two way street. Another factor is recent performance. Eg. Last night's Bucs debacle, I guarantee that they are a smaller favorite vs. the Skins, this week, then they would have been had they not collasped in the 4th qtr. last night.
wil.
wil.
Hey TT, perfect idea for a new contest. Predict the lines on NFL games for each upcoming week before the lines are dealt, match people up to see who gets the most correct, and eliminate the losers each week until someone is champion.
......Gosh, I was joking, but now that I thought about it I had to come back in here and say that actually is a good idea,a true~handicapping contest!
Matt, I don't believe such a site exists, but your probably in the right place here at TheRx because there are many here that could calculate close to what a line might open at more than a week ahead of particular games. Oh, Matt, what's up with your tagline? Chad Johnson will become the best WR in the NFL
It's good to be a die hard. I used to say that Tampa's Mark Carrier years ago was the best receiver in the league, even though I knew it wasn't true.....
I honestly believe he will become the best WR in the NFL. He sleeps at Paul Brown Stadium during the week even though his apartment is a few minutes away. This guy is obsessed with being the best ever. He is most likely working harder than at least 95% of the WRs out there and he already has a ton of talent in the first place. He will be a pro bowler this year.
I have two games that I am estimating. The first is Bengals at home vs Ravens in 2 weeks. I make this game a pk, but can see Baltimore being favored by 1 or Cincy being favored by 1.
Now given Bengals beat Ravens. Bengals at home vs Seahawks. This is where the disagreeing starts. These 2 guys are saying the Seahawks will be at least a 4.5 pt favorite, if not 6. I say if I see 4.5, then it becomes my 2nd play of the season.(first was Bengals +4.5 vs Browns) no way this line is 4.5. I dont even see Seattle favored by 3. what do you guys think?
Now given Bengals beat Ravens. Bengals at home vs Seahawks. This is where the disagreeing starts. These 2 guys are saying the Seahawks will be at least a 4.5 pt favorite, if not 6. I say if I see 4.5, then it becomes my 2nd play of the season.(first was Bengals +4.5 vs Browns) no way this line is 4.5. I dont even see Seattle favored by 3. what do you guys think?
Just get a set of power ratings, from a reputable source, like the Gold Sheet or even easier USA Today's Jeff Sagarin. With the ratings you can calculate more or less what a line between any two trams would be if they played today. Here is link to Sagarin's power rankings.
USA Today Sagarin
wil.
USA Today Sagarin
wil.
