Betting on a hunch may be a gambling windfall

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Another Day, Another Dollar
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It just felt weird.

I‘m in this football prediction contest called Knockout. I, along with 76 other guys, put $25 in a pot. All you have to do is pick the winner of any NFL game of your choice. If your team wins, you go on to the next week. If they lose, you’re eliminated. The last guy standing gets all the money. In this case: $1,925.
So it came time to pick the first game. The natural selection was obvious – Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins.


But...it just felt weird. That game looked strange somehow. I was having (insert dramatic music) – a hunch.

Yes, the Dolphins were heavily favored (14 points at game time which is a flat-out lock cinch in betting circles) and were at home on Opening Day in good weather. But my gut said watch out.

So I passed on the Texans-Dolphins clash and went with Kansas City who (thankfully) won easily. But 67 of my fellow Knockouters picked Miami.

Being highly concerned about the contest, I rushed home after church, turned the TV on, and immediately went to sleep. Waking up occasionally to turn over, I kept noticing that the Texans were staying in the game. Was I dreaming?

I woke up for good near the end of the game. Kris Brown – who quarterbacked those incredible Southlake Carroll teams that smoked everybody around here in the 90’s – kicked a field goal that gave the Texans a 21-20 victory.


Suddenly, I was in great shape in the Knockout game. My odds at winning $1,925 quickly went from 77-1 to 9-1. (Another guy picked Green Bay; they lost.)
Let me hasten to add that I don’t consider Knockout gambling. I don’t gamble much. I’ve been to Las Vegas just once and that was to play softball. I did lose $50 in slot machines. Then I went swimming.

Slots are luck, just as holding a winning Lotto Texas ticket is pure-dee luck.
(Apparently my college degree – eventually acquired after a mere 14 years of dedicated work – did not educate me enough to solve the mystery of lottery games. There are at least five of them where numbers can be picked: Lotto Texas, Pick 3 Day, Pick 3 Night, Cash Five, and Texas Two Step. It’s too confusing. So I just play Knockout.)

So, let’s say I win $1,925 thanks to my highly-educated football brain and hunch-filled/gassy stomach. There are three entities that must be taken care of immediately:

1. Taxes. I know people who won’t play the lottery because “of all those taxes you have to pay.” That’s true, but if you win, say $28 million, you still clear millions of dollars after taxes! Anyway, of my $1,925, I’d shear off 25 percent (that’s what the Texas Lottery withholds) for Uncle Sam – $481.25. So, I’m down to $1,443.75.

2. Church. I’ve often wondered: Would the church accept lottery winnings? What if someone won that $28 million and immediately gave their 10 percent tithe ($2.8 million) to their church? (Of course, the primary question here could be: Has a Christian ever won a lottery?)
Anyway, would churches consider the $2.8 million tainted cash? Or would they take that “devil’s money” and turn it into something good?
I certainly would give my fair share of Knockout money to my church, right off the original amount. In fact, I’d pass on well beyond 10 percent and give $300 – just in case the new money is evil. If it’s ill-gotten, at least I tithed big time on it. Maybe my heavenly mansion will be just slightly reduced...perhaps I’ll only lose a shutter or have a smaller entryway or something like that. That knocks me down to $1,143.75.

3. My wife. My wife hates gambling. So she’d certainly have to be pacified, probably in a sniveling Kobe Bryant kind of way. I’d have to buy her a $1,000 piece of jewelry. So, out of $1,925, I’d be left with $143.75. I have a hunch I’d blow that on CDs. Or Maalox.

http://www.azle-news.com/news/get-news.asp?id=2309&catid=2&cpg=get-news.asp
 

Another Day, Another Dollar
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Slots are luck, just as holding a winning Lotto Texas ticket is pure-dee luck.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

He agrees with JJ
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General

Great post!!

Does this mean Houston is <due> for a loss this week? Is Miami <due> for a win?

What does your hunch tell you?

In any event, it's all good. Good luck with your games.


VVV
 

Another Day, Another Dollar
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Thanks vinividivinci.

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Does this mean Houston is <due> for a loss this week? Is Miami <due> for a win?

What does your hunch tell you?
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Have no opinion on either team @ this point. Good luck to you.
icon_cool.gif


It's all good
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General,
Hunch bets are the way to go sometimes! I bet Utah on Monday -2. Figured Cal was a 3-5 pt better team! Figured whoever made the line, knew what he was doing,lol, line moved 3.5 pts today! Go figure! Another is Colts-2 Tenn. I figure Tenn. to be a 5-7 pt better team! Will be playing Colts on Sunday for a hunch play as whoever made the line I'm sure knows what he is doing!
 

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GENERAL --WHO ya like this week?? i took SF last week. The obvious choice this week is minny, im passing and going with new orleans over houston.
 

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The general - Good Post

I always do my handicapping and then I'm not sure I use my Hunches (intuition) to make my final bets.
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Works for me...as I am ahead this year.
 

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Great post General. The way you tell it I think you'd better hope that one of the other guys gets the money!
icon_wink.gif
 

hacheman@therx.com
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I can almost guarantee you that most have regretted not going with their firts instinct. I know I've been burnt many times by "thinking" too much about a selection, instead of playing my original, first instinct.
 

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