Ok boys, seeing it's NFL time, I want to see all you boys not go broke this year. I hate seeing people lose money. I know you all must be saying, what a nice guy Sick Gambler is, now why would he wanna help us so much. And that is because I am a great guy boys. If I didn't become a gambler in this life, I would have been the next pope. I always dreamt of being the pope, but I chose gambling over this. So even though some of you might think I am still a scammer, I want to give back to the public and show you losers how great a guy I am. I want to give back to the community of the rx. I can't help you pick winners, but I will help you cut your losses with some NFL and gambling tips. We all know that NFL by far is the toughest sport to beat in sports gambling, so I will try to help you losers cut down on your losses, seeing most of us will end up broke anyways come January. Here we go, so listen well..
1) Don't ever chase. It's a very long season and we will all have time to make back our losses with more games, so if you are 0-6 at 1pm games, and you were betting 100 a game, don't start betting 300 a game at 4 pm to make it back, thinking you are due, because it doesn't work that way. You will just risk going down faster this way. Continue betting 100 a game.
2) Here's a good one that will help you a lot. If you bet parlays, 3 teamers and especially 4 teamers, don't bet all -110's. For example, if you are betting a 4 teamer at -110's, you will ONLY get 10-1. But if you take 3 of your games at -110, and your 4th team at -115, you will get about 12-1.. This way, you will not get 10-1 and you will end up getting 12-1 instead, because they will now work out the parlay odds different, and adjust it. So IOW, take at least 1 game that is a Money line, either a -105 or -115, rather than all being -110, and you will get a much better return for your parlay. 12-1 is way better than 10-1, it adds up..
3) If you find a minimum of 2 games that are off numbers, you get a better return on your dollar by betting a parlay, than you would if you bet it straight up believe it or not. So instead of betting Dal -3 and Philly -4 for 100 each, put a parlay for 200 on both of these and your return would be way better. You'd be risking 220 by betting straight up, and risking only 200 by parlaying them, and not only would you be risking less by parlaying them, your return would be much much better.
4) Don't bet real lines ever. Just bet numbers that are off. It's hard enough to beat this sport, you don't want to be playing into real lines. If you see no lines with advantages, don't play it, even if it's on tv. If you start betting your own opinion, you will go broke.
Frequencies of #'s.. Ok boys, I might be a loser in real life, but I do know my frequencies of games landing on their respective numbers, so pay attention. I have studied this for years.
Game landing on 3 occurs 10% of the time, so you are a 9-1 shot in getting it. So a -2.5/+3 sided bet is exactly a break even proposition. But a -3/+4 or a -2/+3 is a moneymaker indeed. Buying a half pt on the 3 is equivalent to not buying a half at all. Meaning, -3-110, loses about 4% hold, and if you buy a half point on the 3, and now have it at -2.5-130, this is exactly the same as not buying the half. They both will lose roughly 4%. So there is no differnce mathematically if you buy half or not on the 3.
In a lot of situations, the 1 point difference will not help you at all in the NFL. For example, if you go from -5.5 to -4.5, you will get killed. OR, if you go from -8.5 to -7.5 too. Even -11.5 to -10.5 is not good. Or even -2.5 to -1.5. You have to know when the 1 pt will be helpful. Here are some good ones. -7 to -6 or -10 to -9, or -7.5 to -6.5 or -14.5 to -13.5, and of course many many more.. But don't bet a game if a line is -16.5 and you found a -15.5, cause this is not a good bet. Or don't bet any game that is off by only a half a pt if it is not on a key #. But betting -3.5 instead of -4, or betting -4 instead of a -4.5 is not bad. It just cancels out the juice and gives you a shot at a vig Bonus Bet. But if you bet games off by a half pt only in NFL, you will get killed this year, UNLESS they are key numbers like i said.
NFL Totals---- The 37 is the most common number by far. All you need is a half pt here to be a money maker. If you find a 36.5, bet over. If you find a 37.5, bet under, IF the line is 37 of course. Even 38 is a frequent number, but not as strong as 37. For most of other totals, if you can find 1 pt off the line in totals, bang it out, as 1 pt in NFL totals means more than the side does, and you can beat the game if you keep finding that. But remember, all you need is a half a pt for the 37, and mostly 1 pt for the others..
Good luck boys, and lets all have a great season this year.
1) Don't ever chase. It's a very long season and we will all have time to make back our losses with more games, so if you are 0-6 at 1pm games, and you were betting 100 a game, don't start betting 300 a game at 4 pm to make it back, thinking you are due, because it doesn't work that way. You will just risk going down faster this way. Continue betting 100 a game.
2) Here's a good one that will help you a lot. If you bet parlays, 3 teamers and especially 4 teamers, don't bet all -110's. For example, if you are betting a 4 teamer at -110's, you will ONLY get 10-1. But if you take 3 of your games at -110, and your 4th team at -115, you will get about 12-1.. This way, you will not get 10-1 and you will end up getting 12-1 instead, because they will now work out the parlay odds different, and adjust it. So IOW, take at least 1 game that is a Money line, either a -105 or -115, rather than all being -110, and you will get a much better return for your parlay. 12-1 is way better than 10-1, it adds up..
3) If you find a minimum of 2 games that are off numbers, you get a better return on your dollar by betting a parlay, than you would if you bet it straight up believe it or not. So instead of betting Dal -3 and Philly -4 for 100 each, put a parlay for 200 on both of these and your return would be way better. You'd be risking 220 by betting straight up, and risking only 200 by parlaying them, and not only would you be risking less by parlaying them, your return would be much much better.
4) Don't bet real lines ever. Just bet numbers that are off. It's hard enough to beat this sport, you don't want to be playing into real lines. If you see no lines with advantages, don't play it, even if it's on tv. If you start betting your own opinion, you will go broke.
Frequencies of #'s.. Ok boys, I might be a loser in real life, but I do know my frequencies of games landing on their respective numbers, so pay attention. I have studied this for years.
Game landing on 3 occurs 10% of the time, so you are a 9-1 shot in getting it. So a -2.5/+3 sided bet is exactly a break even proposition. But a -3/+4 or a -2/+3 is a moneymaker indeed. Buying a half pt on the 3 is equivalent to not buying a half at all. Meaning, -3-110, loses about 4% hold, and if you buy a half point on the 3, and now have it at -2.5-130, this is exactly the same as not buying the half. They both will lose roughly 4%. So there is no differnce mathematically if you buy half or not on the 3.
In a lot of situations, the 1 point difference will not help you at all in the NFL. For example, if you go from -5.5 to -4.5, you will get killed. OR, if you go from -8.5 to -7.5 too. Even -11.5 to -10.5 is not good. Or even -2.5 to -1.5. You have to know when the 1 pt will be helpful. Here are some good ones. -7 to -6 or -10 to -9, or -7.5 to -6.5 or -14.5 to -13.5, and of course many many more.. But don't bet a game if a line is -16.5 and you found a -15.5, cause this is not a good bet. Or don't bet any game that is off by only a half a pt if it is not on a key #. But betting -3.5 instead of -4, or betting -4 instead of a -4.5 is not bad. It just cancels out the juice and gives you a shot at a vig Bonus Bet. But if you bet games off by a half pt only in NFL, you will get killed this year, UNLESS they are key numbers like i said.
NFL Totals---- The 37 is the most common number by far. All you need is a half pt here to be a money maker. If you find a 36.5, bet over. If you find a 37.5, bet under, IF the line is 37 of course. Even 38 is a frequent number, but not as strong as 37. For most of other totals, if you can find 1 pt off the line in totals, bang it out, as 1 pt in NFL totals means more than the side does, and you can beat the game if you keep finding that. But remember, all you need is a half a pt for the 37, and mostly 1 pt for the others..
Good luck boys, and lets all have a great season this year.
