Although I say this EVERY YEAR, there are so many gamblers who don't pay attention...
While "middling" hoops can be real lucrative for those who understand the value of numbers and deviations from them, the same principles do not normally apply to "middling football...
Arguably the sharpest sports better I have ever known, namely Billy Walters, told me a long time ago that everyone who went to Vegas tring to make a living by "middling" Football is now broke.
For example, all that a sharp gambler needs to middle a basketball game is a 1 1/2 or 2 point differnce between numbers when betting on sides..
A minus 4, plus 5 1/2 or 6 is definitely an advantage to the middler when betting hoops but it is NOT an advantage to the middler when betting Football...
Since points are scores in 1's and 2's in hoops, virtually every number can be a valuable one going down the stretch, as in th last two minutes...
The same cannot be said for Football since the majority of points are scored in 3's and 7's...
So many times, even though you may be within striking distance of your number at the end of the Football game, unles your number is EXACTLY 3 or 7 points away from current score, you have virtually ZERO chance o hitting your middle...
Now if you only middle around the number 3 in Football, that is one time where the player clearly has the advantage but in my opinion, too mnay gamblers pay weigh too much vigorish to create a middle off of the 3, making it an advantage for the house...
THE SHRINK
While "middling" hoops can be real lucrative for those who understand the value of numbers and deviations from them, the same principles do not normally apply to "middling football...
Arguably the sharpest sports better I have ever known, namely Billy Walters, told me a long time ago that everyone who went to Vegas tring to make a living by "middling" Football is now broke.
For example, all that a sharp gambler needs to middle a basketball game is a 1 1/2 or 2 point differnce between numbers when betting on sides..
A minus 4, plus 5 1/2 or 6 is definitely an advantage to the middler when betting hoops but it is NOT an advantage to the middler when betting Football...
Since points are scores in 1's and 2's in hoops, virtually every number can be a valuable one going down the stretch, as in th last two minutes...
The same cannot be said for Football since the majority of points are scored in 3's and 7's...
So many times, even though you may be within striking distance of your number at the end of the Football game, unles your number is EXACTLY 3 or 7 points away from current score, you have virtually ZERO chance o hitting your middle...
Now if you only middle around the number 3 in Football, that is one time where the player clearly has the advantage but in my opinion, too mnay gamblers pay weigh too much vigorish to create a middle off of the 3, making it an advantage for the house...
THE SHRINK
