Value in baseball totals

Search
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,808
Tokens
if you want to play the over and one spot has it at 8 1/2 ov20 and the other at 9u35 which is better. At what number do you change your mind?

Just wanted to hear some expert opinions. Thanks.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,267
Tokens
Even though 9 is a key number I feel over the 9 +115 has more value in my opinion.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,276
Tokens
Without going into a whole littany right now, because I am very tired, the most important numbers are odd (7, 9, 11) due to all of the one run games which exist (nearly 1/3 of all games end in 1 run). The value of each number, and consequently the cost to buy off of and onto each one is specific to that number. There are many other exogenous factors as well. I know several people who have spent years upon years compiling db's detailing the value of each number (with a home dog, total at x, fave of -40 to -60) etc. I would be doing them (and myself) a disservice by posting this on a public board. I will be called a dick from every which angle, but I refuse to post this publically because it can only hurt me in the long run. There were years when BM's charged 10c to buy off a 3 in foots. Those days are over because of how much information was made known. Do some of your own research, spend time, ask the right questions to the right people and you will certainly pick up a few things. The food chain is really long. You are will certainly find good info on this and other boards when you wade through the shit, but to the type of info you seek, presented in the right way is the result of lots of work which I cant take credit for, nor can I dispel. Good luck.
 

There's always next year, like in 75, 90-93, 99 &
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
15,270
Tokens
I like Krackmans thinking ...
no way is the hook worth paying 35 cents, not even for a 9.

20 cents - maybe.
 
Joined
Aug 31, 2001
Messages
14,192
Tokens
Just curious..Thanx

Me personally, it would depend on the game i suppose.
If i am that confident in the OVER (8 1/2-9) then i would jump to the value with 9 at 15.

Would vary game to game though, imo.
Pick a game some time, before it goes off, and ask the same, would be interesting to see the responses, imo.
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,808
Tokens
Thanks for the replies. I knew there would be some informative answers. This bothers me every night as part of me wants the best number possible, and part wants the best value.

Docdekay, I could tell by some of your other post you are sharp. This just confirms it for me.
 

SportsOptions/Line up with the pros
Joined
Jul 20, 2000
Messages
13,227
Tokens
Here's an old sheet on how often numbers are hit in totals. May not be exactly right but it is close. Once you know this if you think about it you will be able to get a general idea on how to work out which is better for you.

Total Runs

5>- 21.5%
6 - 6.5%
7 - 10.4%
8 - 7.3%
9 - 9.7%
10 - 6.7%
11 - 8.1%
12 - 5.0%
13 - 5.9%
14<- 18.8%


[This message was edited by Patrick McIrish on July 10, 2003 at 06:05 AM.]
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,228
Messages
13,449,774
Members
99,402
Latest member
03sunwinvip
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com