Do you bet TRENDS in the NFL?

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Definetly know it has its merits in some situations, but would recommed only using them as just ONE of several different criterias for wagering on a team this upcoming NFL season.

Other factors you should be taking into account are getting the best lines(critical if your serious about winning), checking public opinion/perception on a game, checking for changes in personal and/or injuries that are relevant, being leary of all favorites(especially double-digits), and trying to view as many games as you can.

For you bettors that trully love NFL trends, dont believe you will find a better book on the market than the one reviewed below by my good friend Howard Schwartz from the Gamblers Book Shop.

KILLER TRENDS

Meyer and his Killer Sports group again have the trend-and-angle seeker in mind with their latest effort, 2004 Killer Sports NFL Annual (262 pages, 8x11 plastic spiralbound, $24.95) -- a new arrival at Gambler's Book Shop. This resource is excellent for both team and (for many) the all-important league trends. Meyer offers some rationale for many of the angles, including extra emphasis a team might have for winning when there's a divisional battle versus a non-divisional game, and when certain matchups might indicate a potential high-scoring affair.

Granted, looking way ahead in the schedule is difficult as injuries and other factors come into play week by week as a season progresses -- but there are many handicappers who believe a trend is a trend and it will repeat, like Halley's Comet returning as predicted.

A sample: "The Bills are a staggering 3-23 in totals in their last 26 regular season games and were 2-14 O/U last season, so it is relatively easy to find under trends for the Bills."

Also: "The Steelers are 0-8 O/U since 1999 when playing their second road game in two weeks. Pittsburgh has gone under by an average of 12.7 ppg in this situation..."

Starting on page 132, each team gets a four-page section with 10 just for betting totals and 25 trends against the spread, with the featured trend highlighted with that key trend analyzed.

For those who like half-time betting, one page shows what the quarter scores were for every regular season game played for the last three years; plus the final score, the line and the total, week by week, against what opponent. Another page shows you the complete 2004 schedule and the time the game begins Eastern Standard Time. The preseason games are listed -- opponents but not dates to be played.

Overall, this is a fine book to do your homework before the season begins -- it will alert you to situations and matchups worth taking a second look at -- games worthy of special attention, where they might be an edge when the line is established.

For beginners, it's an eye-opening time-saver well worth the price. Guaranteed many a fledgling sports service will buy a copy and be advising their clients of material Meyer and his Killer Sports organization compiled in the off-season.
 

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I follow trends..I think that is a very valuable part of picking nfl games

Fish I demand you buy me this book asap...thanks
 

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Trends are over-rated, especially in the NFL. Too much roster turnover. Who cares what a team has accomplished during October away-games over the last five years if they only have two players who have been on the team for five years, and they've got an entirely new coaching staff?

Also, divisional re-alignment has greatly impacted many of the trends. Teams such as Seattle and Arizona are playing TOTALLY different schedules than they did 3-4 years ago.
 

Another Day, Another Dollar
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Only trend I use is when I know Dante has Won a game and then I fade the next. Works well.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by The General:
Only trend I use is when I know Dante has Won a game and then I fade the next. Works well.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>


TRIPLE>>>
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with a
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Some trends are useful. Ones I play are going against Green Bay on astroturf, espically in domes. I also play against Detroit when playing on grass - they are brutal on grass.
 

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With the demise of astro-turf many semi-useful trends are now useless. I can recall cappers who specialized in playing surface capping. I think off the top of my head there are 4 artificial-turf stadiums left: Atlanta, Minnesota, Indianopolis, and New Orleans (can't recall about Detroit).

wil.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by wilheim:
With the demise of astro-turf many semi-useful trends are now useless. I can recall cappers who specialized in playing surface capping. I think off the top of my head there are 4 artificial-turf stadiums left: Atlanta, Minnesota, Indianopolis, and New Orleans (can't recall about Detroit).

wil.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Detroit uses that turf that the Devil Rays play on. Rams are Turf too.
 

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some trends that annoy me that people continue to bring up

"home dog on MNF is a good play" - its like 50/50 and home dogs have been getting killed on MNF for 3 years now. . .how about that browns play? lmfao

"Miami is good at home" - they sucked last year

"Rams suck on grass" - they mopped up last year

"Minny never wins in GB" - they killed them last year

"Theyre on turf itll be a shootout play the over" -
icon_rolleyes.gif
 

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Several NFL teams have gone to field turf which is artificial but very natrual like. Even indoor stadiums like Atlanta's Georgia Dome use it.

Field Turf venues


wil.
 

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Trends, angles, and the like are but one small element of successfully handicapping the NFL. Prior to the salary cap and free agency which brought parity to the league, this element tended to be a bit more valuable and consistent. With the continuous change of team personnel and coaching staffs, and thus no year in, year out consistency from these changing teams, past history has far less meaning today then a few years ago. One must be careful when looking at past history for trends and then making a play solely based on this element. Tread carefully.
 

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Speaking of recent trends, my favorite:

New England Patriots have won their last 15 games outright.


wil.
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KYHAWK- That may be the worst post I have ever you seen you make......pleeeeeeeeeeez.
 
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If you can find a trend that works by all means follow it..In the NFL trends are so hard to monitor because of the constant personnel changes..

With the internet, information like weather and injuries are updated so often that the player is more educated than many years ago..

Remember.."THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND"..
 

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