Football Wagering: Which Situation Do You Like The Best And Why?

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Professional At All Times
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My personal preference in order is as follows:

1. Home Underdog
2. Road Underdog
3. Home Favorite
4. Road Favorite

As a bonus, a conference or division rival strengthens my top situation.
 

Another Day, Another Dollar
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1. Home Underdog
2. Road Underdog

I like points and the backdoors.
 

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Pesonally before I look for geographical situations when it comes to pointspreads. I look at the size of the spread first for example:

Dogs from +3.5 to +7.5 #1 priority.
Favs from -2.5 to -1 #2 priority
Dogs +10.5 or more #3 priority
favs -3 to -6.5 #4 priority

Natrually road or home is a factor at some point in the process, as is current form, injuries, individual match-ups, etc.


wil.
 
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Another Day, Another Dollar
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by michael777:
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<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

It is that easy.
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The world would be a whole lot better if everyone
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by michael777:
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Pump n Dump
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by The General:
1. Home Underdog
2. Road Underdog

I like points and the backdoors.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

backdoors?
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Speaking of backdoors, Cleveland pitcher Kazuhito Tadano had another great game. Against Cincy tonight, 7 innings, 4 hits, 2 ER, 2 BB, 10 Ks.

On June 26th, he pitched 6 innings of long-relief (CC Sabathia left due to injury) against Colorado. Tadano threw 6 innings, 4 hits, 1 ER, 1 BB, 9 Ks.

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"It's great to be alive and ahead by seven" Mort o
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I like power dogs and especially those that are at home with revenge. I LOVE going against teams that are playing 0n their THIRD or more straight road game. From the midpoint of the college season I like to go against teams that have lost a tough game to come up flat the next week. Example of Minn losing to Mich after blowing a big lead and then playing a rising Mich St as a 7 point fav the following week. Also like to spot teams in the later part of the season that have quit to go against. That is the only time that I will give up a substantial amount of points. Another angle is going against a team that had a big blowout win with a misleading score to go on the road the next week with a revenging home dog with rest. Example the V Tech -@Pitt game after V Tech hammered Miami. V Tech was a 5 point fav @Pitt. Pitt was my second largest play of the season and won straight up. I LOVE situational angles! LT
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[This message was edited by GATOR COACH LT on July 02, 2004 at 10:31 PM.]
 

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posted by wilheim:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>
Pesonally before I look for geographical situations when it comes to pointspreads. I look at the size of the spread first for example:

Dogs from +3.5 to +7.5 #1 priority.
Favs from -2.5 to -1 #2 priority
Dogs +10.5 or more #3 priority
favs -3 to -6.5 #4 priority
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

This is very similar to my own indicators, although NFL betting is really not something that I have approached with any seriousness as of yet (last season I placed a total of three NFL bets [went 2-1, making me the highest-ranked NFL capper at the Rx based on winning percentage!])

I would add that on the dogs up to +7.5, especially if they are home dogs, I will look closely at the moneyline, possibly placing a hedged bet of two units on the points and one on the money. This works out very well for me in other sports, especially NBA dogs up to +10


Phaedrus
 

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Phaedrus - ML dogs are my actual #1 priority when I see the opening line every week for the NFL. I always ask myself if I can see an underdog winning outright on the field. When the answer is yes I will hunt for the best plus money available.


wil.
 

I am sorry for using the "R" word - and NOTHING EL
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depends on the team and situation.

if the broncos are a home dog - i am on them - PERIOD because history shows me i will cash a hell of a lot of tickets.

but for the most part, i like taking:

Road Faves

of course it depends on what the line is - but by taking a road fave, you are getting 7 free points. i say this because, let's say the line for the broncos @ ravens game is:

Denver -3

so on a neutral field, denver would be around 6, maybe as high as 6.5. if the game were in denver the broncos come about 9/9.5 - maybe as high as 10.

but here i am laying 6-7 points LESS because of where the game is played.

to me - getting a "free" TD is almost too good to pas sup.

now there are other circumstances - such as a grass team that plays lousy on turf (or V.V.) or an indoor team playinbg a rare outdoor game (or V.V.) and stuff like that - but i do look at road faves.
 

Nirvana Shill
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You can't get caught up in certain preferances, situations change, look at the game seperatly
 

The Great Govenor of California
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I like early season home dogs in the 2nd half if they are winning outright at halftime in ncaa.
 

The Great Govenor of California
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If I like a favorite, Im probably going to go with action points, like Houston Texans week 1 over Chargers
 

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All of the above..

College(unlike pros are usually fully exposed and not just misfiring) teams stuck on 0 or 3 at halftime, with no offensive push generally stay on 0 & 3(I.E. lose 2nd halves)..if fair 2nd half lines set on high action games that require tight linemaking at half, especially if in rivalry games where letting up isn't much of an option for the frontrunner.

1 pt home favs are usually false favs if they are the public team or perceived better team, and especially when big isolated tv game, and line often is saying something if large public consensus..yet doesn't creep up.

Love road dog in NFL intra-conference games, when visting team is an isolated or largest viewing audience game while being televised on their own conference's tv network.

Somewhere between the last two weeks of November and the first week of December is a week where the dogs go about 13-3, with most winning outright on the ML

USC, Mich, Mich St, and BC vs.ND..until recently always outright dogs

Ala outright or ATS when at LSU, UF outright or ATS vs UGa

OU over Texas in MB era

Miami in Sunshine tilts vs FSU and UF anywhere

Peach & Holiday Bowl Dogs..actually most all dogs pre-New Year's day Bowls

#2 outright over #1 in NCAA title tilt

Getting points vs. Titans or Eagles in playoffs

College home tv dogs vs 2nd or 3rd week straight roadies..especially if deflated in big game loss week ago and now at hungry middle-of-packer

etc..

Every year is different, and things change, but certain spots have numbers tough to buck.
 

There's always next year, like in 75, 90-93, 99 &
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I like road dogs going against a team that won a late game (monday or sunday night).
 

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Ted, it is regreshing to see you around...

I really hope you stay & we get down to business for football...
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