Eric Milton 11-2 and a dollar sixty dog?

TheGeneral+ · Jul 30, 2004

What gives here?

Thanks

SportSavant · Jul 30, 2004

I dont know General, but I do see that Bucsfan is on the Cubs & with his record this year I would be worried to go against him...

SportSavant · Jul 30, 2004

another note here is that Pinny is a little more expensive if you like the FAV than other bookies... like they are trying to "disuade" bets on the CUBS...

TheGeneral+ · Jul 30, 2004

I refuse to lay that kind of vig.

Journeyman · Jul 30, 2004

milton has been supported quite well, almost every start!

TheGeneral+ · Jul 30, 2004

What about the 8.5? Any thoughts?

docdekay · Jul 30, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>I refuse to lay that kind of vig. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Big misconception with the amount of vig you are laying. If you bet chi at pin right now you lay -167. Establishing a no vig number of -163/+163 you are playing into an edge of 0.87%.

However, everytime you play a football game you probably dont blink laying -110 and playing in a 4.54% edge.

IOW, a coinflipper is playing into a much smaller house edge with the baseball game.

SportSavant · Jul 30, 2004

I know what you mean General, dieing for some afternoon afternnon as-well....

what about laying 1.5 & getting the Plus VIG...

TheGeneral+ · Jul 30, 2004

How about 1 better

Philadelphia Phillies
E. Milton -1.5 +246

hanover00 · Jul 30, 2004

My own line gives me Cubs -180. Phillies 30 day team index is terrible. With less than a 3% edge though, I won't lay -167.

redsoxneedsmorepitching · Jul 30, 2004

phillies bullpen has been overworked the last few days...

docdekay · Jul 30, 2004

Hanover

Handicapping aside, I was trying to illustrate that even someone who didnt ever see a baseball game would be playing into a smaller house edge laying the -167 on a 10c line than laying -110 on a 20c line.

Considering the response I got from General, I take it he didnt give a f*ck.

hanover00 · Jul 30, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by docdekay:
Hanover

Handicapping aside, I was trying to illustrate that even someone who didnt ever see a baseball game would be playing into a smaller house edge laying the -167 on a 10c line than laying -110 on a 20c line.

Considering the response I got from General, I take it he didnt give a f*ck.

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Very true, I like the way you think.

TheGeneral+ · Jul 30, 2004

I'm passing on the game. I did read your post Doc. Me and Sick G have discussed this before as well. I do give a fuk. LOL

Dante · Jul 30, 2004

I would play it if I were into playing baseball...great ERA for 11-2 also

hanover00 · Jul 30, 2004

Capping bases by placing too much weight on the starters is a big mistake.

SportSavant · Jul 30, 2004

Cubs -1.5 + 137 for me

TheGeneral+ · Jul 30, 2004

9-6 adv

bucsfan67 · Jul 30, 2004

Cubs win, Cubs win, Cubs win.....

and they needed it...gotta get on a roll before its too late....wild card is still very achievable, and with the starting pitchers they have, a very dangerous team in a short series...