Lilly and the Jays are they...

Moon88 · Aug 17, 2004

that bad B.J.+265. Honestly I don't think so, but heck what do I know. Baseball sharps any opinions would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks

HateTheRiverCard · Aug 17, 2004

Martinez has looked solid last couple of games and the Jays have literally given up. They were swinging at everything Lowe threw yesterday (high, low, inside, outside). Martinez may strike out 12-15 tonite if they continue swinging at everything.

Sure they could always surprise, but they seem like a team ready for the offseason more than a team looking at playing the spoiler role.

HTRC

hanover00 · Aug 17, 2004

My own capping has it at Boston -246. It would have to get to Toronto +290 for there to be value for me.

It's all about the numbers.

Moon88 · Aug 17, 2004

Hanover your own capping has pointed out that there is a 44 cent difference from your lines to what's available. Why would you not consider that to be enough value? THANKS

hanover00 · Aug 17, 2004

Moon, I convert the money lines to probabilities. Capping is an inexact science, so, I have to see a minimum 3% probability edge before I play. At even money, that would be 13 cents. At these prices, a 3% edge is 44 cents.

BTW, let me know if you find Toronto +290 anywhere. I'll be searching till game time. Thanks.