MLB rosters set to expand Sept. 1, offers good betting opportunities

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Oh boy!
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When MLB rosters expand September 1st many teams out of contention bring up their minor-leaguers to give them a chance to get some major-league experience. This brings up some good betting opportunities.

Teams that have no hope for a pennant run oftentimes will put in these inexperienced players at the risk of losing games. While the lines are adjusted for this, I have found that they seldom are adjusted as much as they should be. These teams that lose 4 out of 5 games would have to be +400 underdogs for the line to be even. Seldom do you see lines like this.

The books know they can't put up a line like this. Bettors are not going to be very willing to bet a -400 favorite. So the books make these lines from -200 to -300. At these prices it is profitable to bet the favorite.
 
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OK, you ever seen what bodies at a crime seen are marked with? You need to hit 3 out of 4 to even break even at -3.00. I just can't lay heavy juice on a baseball game, no matter what...Best Wishes...OF
 

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One can handicap minor league pitchers, you just have to look harder. I use USA Today, especially their box score archive of minor league games. You can go back and look at a callup pitcher's last 5 starts (or more). Check his form in the minors along with ERA etc. As far as positional players go - the callups are not that much of a drop off on bad teams to begin with.


wil.
 

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