Only way I see to rate plays is by number of players that select a particular side. Example today somewhere around 164 contestants selected the Ravens -3. This was ranked the number one selection, number 2 is Minnesota -5 with 113 players using them. The least "picked" team was Arizona with only 27 players picking the Cards.
Ranks Picked Score Team Line Team Score Picked Ranks
16 57 NEW 3 Ind 39 23
3 104 Ten 3 MIA 43 22
11 70 PIT 4 Oak 55 17
5 95 WAS 2 Tam 55 17
1 164 Bal 3 CLE 48 18
12 64 BUF 2½ Jax 46 20
9 74 NYJ 4½ Cin 36 25
27 29 CHI 3 Det 97 4
16 57 STL 10½ Arz 27 28
7 79 Sea 2 NOR 62 13
8 75 HOU 4½ Sdg 44 21
14 59 PHI 9 Nyg 37 24
2 113 MIN 5 Dal 32 26
19 47 Atl 3½ SFO 79 7
18 48 DEN 3 Kan 71 10
6 86 CAR 3 Grb 58 15
wil.
Ranks Picked Score Team Line Team Score Picked Ranks
16 57 NEW 3 Ind 39 23
3 104 Ten 3 MIA 43 22
11 70 PIT 4 Oak 55 17
5 95 WAS 2 Tam 55 17
1 164 Bal 3 CLE 48 18
12 64 BUF 2½ Jax 46 20
9 74 NYJ 4½ Cin 36 25
27 29 CHI 3 Det 97 4
16 57 STL 10½ Arz 27 28
7 79 Sea 2 NOR 62 13
8 75 HOU 4½ Sdg 44 21
14 59 PHI 9 Nyg 37 24
2 113 MIN 5 Dal 32 26
19 47 Atl 3½ SFO 79 7
18 48 DEN 3 Kan 71 10
6 86 CAR 3 Grb 58 15
wil.
Last year, starting around week 5, going with the plays picked by at least 2 of the current top 5 contestants (and passing when the top 5 had picks on both sides) won at about a 58-60% clip until the last couple of weeks of the season.
Be careful of just looking at "total times picked" data for all contestants - it does not subtract the number who had the other side. Some games seem to be picked by a lot of contestants, esp if there is a line move after the "contest" line comes out - and you can't get that number by the time the picks are released. Classic case of chasing after old line moves - it might work for the contest, but not for players having to use the current number.
One exception, parlay cards can often be found with the older number, if it hasn't moved so much as to be taken off the card.
Be careful of just looking at "total times picked" data for all contestants - it does not subtract the number who had the other side. Some games seem to be picked by a lot of contestants, esp if there is a line move after the "contest" line comes out - and you can't get that number by the time the picks are released. Classic case of chasing after old line moves - it might work for the contest, but not for players having to use the current number.
One exception, parlay cards can often be found with the older number, if it hasn't moved so much as to be taken off the card.
Good to see you chic's fridge, I had Buff on the Mline, heartbreaking bad beat but shit happens, go get them this week bud, jimmy here's the link to the Hilton contest.
http://www.jimfeist.com/Contests/HiltonContest.aspx?WN=1
http://www.jimfeist.com/Contests/HiltonContest.aspx?WN=1
