Dave Tuley : NFL betting trends

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Hard work never killed anyone, but why chance it?
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By Dave Tuley (DRF)

Home-field advantage continues to be a non-factor in the NFL as road teams won nine of the 14 games this past weekend (10 road teams were favored) and were 8-5-1 against the spread. For the season, road teams are 35-22 (61 percent) with three pushes.

Favorites and underdogs are still splitting the action as the dogs went 7-6-1 last weekend and took a slight 29-28-3 edge on the season. It's a little surprising that stat is so close considering home underdogs - traditionally a solid play in the NFL - are only 8-13-1 after going 4-5-1 over the weekend. I'm still waiting for that trend to reverse, and this week's home dogs are the Texans +4 vs. the Vikings, the Chargers +3 vs. the Jaguars, and possibly the Redskins vs. the Ravens, which opened at pick-em on Tuesday morning.

There were no double-digit underdogs last weekend, so they stand at 3-1-1 against the spread despite not winning any games outright. This week, the Dolphins are +13 at the Patriots. After opening at 10, the Colts were -9 vs. the Raiders as of Tuesday morning, but that line could rise by the weekend.

The under went 8-6 last week and is hitting at a 60-percent clip at 36-24 through the first four weeks.
 

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