Been winning for 12 years or so on UK Jumps Horse racing - have kelly staking plan - have my own ratings which i trust - and WAS $11K up this season - started start Oct.
Been going thru a terrible run - last fence fallers, no pace in races where there are supposed to be 2 or 3 setting a pace, seconditis - generally some plain bad luck. I am now down $3K on the season and have no faith/belief - in fact i have the belief that something will go wrong and thats whats happening.
e.g. yesterday backed a horse at 6/4 on betfair - didn't see the race but betting in running the horse went down to 1.01 (-10000) - the horse somehow managed to falter suddenly and get beat. Have had fallers when 10 lengths clear and on bridle on hurdle races (small obstacles).
When am in this negative thought process it seems as if I can subconciously make my horse lose from inconcievable unlosable positions. My betting season is only 6 months long so it seems wrong to take a break and it feels like sod's law that if i change mty staking plan to something lower then I'll get loads of winners and feel gutted.
I'm sure you've all been in this position before though long losing streaks are less common with 2 outcome events and would apprerciate your advice.
Been going thru a terrible run - last fence fallers, no pace in races where there are supposed to be 2 or 3 setting a pace, seconditis - generally some plain bad luck. I am now down $3K on the season and have no faith/belief - in fact i have the belief that something will go wrong and thats whats happening.
e.g. yesterday backed a horse at 6/4 on betfair - didn't see the race but betting in running the horse went down to 1.01 (-10000) - the horse somehow managed to falter suddenly and get beat. Have had fallers when 10 lengths clear and on bridle on hurdle races (small obstacles).
When am in this negative thought process it seems as if I can subconciously make my horse lose from inconcievable unlosable positions. My betting season is only 6 months long so it seems wrong to take a break and it feels like sod's law that if i change mty staking plan to something lower then I'll get loads of winners and feel gutted.
I'm sure you've all been in this position before though long losing streaks are less common with 2 outcome events and would apprerciate your advice.