Okay math gurus.....is this worth it????

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A co-worker and I were talking about the Ontario pro-line lottery. I know it has been discussed a bit on these forums, and maybe there was a recent thread which is why he brought it up, but I would love to hear some input.

On a given Saturday, there are a number of games that you can find through pro-line whose lines are far off the Vegas line (college hoops). Here are some examples from this Saturday:

Notre Dame +5.5 (Vegas line +1.5)
Mississipi +3.5 (Vegas -1)
Oregon st +1.5 (Vegas -3)

Pro-line forces you to bet parlays, and their odds are worse than Vegas.

3/3 pays 5 x wager
4/4 pays 10 x wager
5/5 pays 20 x wager
6/6 pays 35 x wager

Note that the payout includes the original stake....meaning that a three teamer for a $100 bet would pay a total of $500.....$400 being profit.

Now the obvious question, with these lines that are off by 4 or more points, and the given odds, is it worth taking a shot at?
 

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Actually doesn't look too bad at all:

Like doing a 4 - 4½ point teaser & almost getting parlay odds-- compare to the furthest left 2 columns of what the 4/4½(5 & 5½ FB) pt teasers pay:

<TABLE id=Table9 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width=400 align=center border=1><TBODY><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD vAlign=center align=middle bgColor=#006666 colSpan=11 height=18>
Teaser Payouts for Football and Basketball



</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD vAlign=center align=middle width=250># of Teams



</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle width=36>5

pts
FB*

4
pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>5½

pts
FB*


pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>6

pts
FB*


pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>6½

pts
FB*

5
pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>7

pts
FB*


pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>7½

pts
FB*


pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>8

pts
FB*

6
pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>8½

pts
FB*

6
pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>9

pts
FB*


pts
BB*


</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>9½

pts
FB*


pts
BB*


</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>2</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+105</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+102</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+100</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-110</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-120</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-135</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-155</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-170</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-185</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-200</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>3</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+200</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+190</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+180</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+165</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+150</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+130</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+110</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+100</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-105</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>-110</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>4</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+335</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+315</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+300</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+265</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+235</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+200</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+170</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+150</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+140</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+140</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>5</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+525</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+490</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+465</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+415</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+365</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+300</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+250</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+220</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+205</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+195</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>6</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+800</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+775</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+750</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+625</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+550</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+460</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+350</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+310</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+285</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+265</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>7</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1200</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1150</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+110</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+900</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+800</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+600</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+480</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+420</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+375</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+350</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top align=left><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=250>8</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1800</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1700</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1600</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1300</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+1100</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+925</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+750</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+550</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+500</TD><TD class=BodyCopy vAlign=center align=middle width=36>+475</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

the best deal %-wise, is the 5-teamer, followed closely by 4-teamers. Considerably further back is the 6-teamer, and much further back is the 3-teamer.

I would jump on it-- any catch? Ties lose? Even w/ ties losing, the 5 & 4 teamers look good.
 
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There does appear to be some value. All their lines use a half point so that ties are not possible.
 

CURATOR / MEMBER EMERITUS
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I kinda thought that-- even better!! Jump on it! You could even hedge/protect one card w/ another card, say 3 opposite choices-- or flat bets online...the sky's the limit...
 

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Just to clarify:

obviously teasers in BB are not great value, so the selections paying closest to parlay odds-- 4 or 5-- would be the choices. Assuming of course, that one's allowed to take either side, not just the one side they choose.
 

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