This team is probably playing the best in the Nfc right now and it seems since most of the team is healthy if they make it into the playoffs they could be the team to knock out the Eagles. They have a very good coach in John Fox and they have 1 of the best recievers in Mosshad Mahammond along with a good D and a decant RB in Goings. The right time to load up on this team is right now and gamble they get in because after Sunday the prices will be slashed quite a bit !! Get it while you can!!
Carolina can clinch an NFC playoff berth with:
A win over the Saints and EITHER a Minnesota loss, a St. Louis loss or a Seattle win. They would then be the 6th seed and play at Green Bay, then at Atlanta, and at Philly (if still alive) or the surviving higer seed. The hard part wil be getting the help from either The Jets, Seahawks, or Redskins. Anyone of the following 3 will do it: Seattle must beat Atlanta, Jets must beat the Rams, and Vikes knock off the Redskins. I can see this working out one on way or another for the Panthers - then watch out NFC.
wil.
I left out ties because they just don't happen.
A win over the Saints and EITHER a Minnesota loss, a St. Louis loss or a Seattle win. They would then be the 6th seed and play at Green Bay, then at Atlanta, and at Philly (if still alive) or the surviving higer seed. The hard part wil be getting the help from either The Jets, Seahawks, or Redskins. Anyone of the following 3 will do it: Seattle must beat Atlanta, Jets must beat the Rams, and Vikes knock off the Redskins. I can see this working out one on way or another for the Panthers - then watch out NFC.
wil.
I left out ties because they just don't happen.
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NO SHOT!
i read in a peter king article last year i think - that the #5 and #6 seeds (meaning the 2 seeds who don't get a home game) have won their 1st game rarely - their 2nd game even fewer times that that - and NEVER made the SB. before we get carried away here with carolina - keep in mind they lose all the time to atlanta (should they meet in the NFC finals) and while they have been on a roll lately - they still have to play 3 straight road games - and people here (and everywhere) line up to play against teams in the 3rd of 3 straight roadies.
nice thought - but NOT gonna happen!
i read in a peter king article last year i think - that the #5 and #6 seeds (meaning the 2 seeds who don't get a home game) have won their 1st game rarely - their 2nd game even fewer times that that - and NEVER made the SB. before we get carried away here with carolina - keep in mind they lose all the time to atlanta (should they meet in the NFC finals) and while they have been on a roll lately - they still have to play 3 straight road games - and people here (and everywhere) line up to play against teams in the 3rd of 3 straight roadies.
nice thought - but NOT gonna happen!
Here is some more interesting food for thought. Imagine it is 1pm and as expected the Vikings win, but the Rams also summons some lost magic and upset the Jets. Now Atlanta previously had nothing to play for, but imagine this. Coach Mora says to the team "guys do you want the Rams or the Panthers in the playoffs?" I think most observers would say without a doubt everyone fears the Panthers, no one fears the Rams. They still probably play the game shorthanded, but the Falcons would have incentive to beat the terribly mediocre and inconsistent Seahawks because a Seattle loss would mean the Panthers would be eliminated, even if they beat the Saints.
Just another thing to think about, the Panthers are almost in a play-in game, but there is that one scenario that makes it so they can't get in even with a win.
Just another thing to think about, the Panthers are almost in a play-in game, but there is that one scenario that makes it so they can't get in even with a win.
Here is some math:
Tomorrow: -306, or 75.3% they beat the Saints. Based on other money lines there is a 7% chance the three things that I mentioned happen and the Panthers don't get in even with a win. So you have about 70% chance the Panthers get into the playoffs. So Wil isn't exactly going out on a limb there, but...
Round one, I will be charitable and say they will be just +130 dogs, about 3 point dogs in Green Bay in all likelihood. Small chance they would end up elsewhere, but considered that factored into the +130 price, or 43.5%
Round two and three, lets say they play both Atlanta and Philly for ease. They will be maybe +200 dogs in Atlanta and I would say +250 dogs in Philly, subsequently 33.3% and 28.6% chance of winning.
Do the math now: 0.70*0.435*0.333*0.286 = less than 3%, or about 35-1. You would have to be nuts to bet 10-1 on this team with this in mind. Maybe a few breaks go their way, but there is almost a zero chance they get a home game. Winning 3 road games in the playoffs, playoffs which they haven't even qualified for yet and people are willing to take 10-1 and 12-1 on it? No wonder why bookies have it so good...
Tomorrow: -306, or 75.3% they beat the Saints. Based on other money lines there is a 7% chance the three things that I mentioned happen and the Panthers don't get in even with a win. So you have about 70% chance the Panthers get into the playoffs. So Wil isn't exactly going out on a limb there, but...
Round one, I will be charitable and say they will be just +130 dogs, about 3 point dogs in Green Bay in all likelihood. Small chance they would end up elsewhere, but considered that factored into the +130 price, or 43.5%
Round two and three, lets say they play both Atlanta and Philly for ease. They will be maybe +200 dogs in Atlanta and I would say +250 dogs in Philly, subsequently 33.3% and 28.6% chance of winning.
Do the math now: 0.70*0.435*0.333*0.286 = less than 3%, or about 35-1. You would have to be nuts to bet 10-1 on this team with this in mind. Maybe a few breaks go their way, but there is almost a zero chance they get a home game. Winning 3 road games in the playoffs, playoffs which they haven't even qualified for yet and people are willing to take 10-1 and 12-1 on it? No wonder why bookies have it so good...
Sorry for my slow answer as I just bought another computer and was busy hooking everything up. I just purchased the Panthers at 25 /1 to win the NFC at the Imperial Palace here in Las Vegas on Tuesday afternoon. I believe the same bet was available at Royal at the time but not sure if it's still available at either site. I'll check early this morning at the Imperial Palace. Panthers need some help to get in today but 25/1 to win the weak NFC seems like a value play to me also ! Good luck to all.
