Now that it is USC pick'em, do you have to take 'em?

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"American Idol Capping Expert"
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Gawd, I missed out on taking Okla when the line was +3....does this mean I am forced to take USC as a value play? Or just stay on the sidelines and play the total?
 

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Tough game!

VERY TOUGH!

Just my opinion, but obviously others have strong opinions on this game one way or another.

REGGIE BUSH would scare the heck out of me if i were to be betting on oklahoma................as he may prove to be the difference.

I will pass on the game and just enjoy what should be a great game.
 

TOW

No gossip, just news
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will be a long and interesting day..currently Pinny has a pk, CRIS, BCN, Royal, WWTS and Grande Oklahoma -1........
 

Tireless Rebuttter
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There's no edge in this game people. Just leave it be.

grab a couple beers, smoke a bowl, or whatever you do to relax and just watch the game. No need to bet the game just because of the importance and hype of it.
 

I am sorry for using the "R" word - and NOTHING EL
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the way i see it is:


Slim has posted who the public is playing in the new year's day games and the sugar bowl

if we faded the public with slim we'd be unbeaten in the BCS games and a lot of other 1-1 games

with the line going from usc -3.5 (opening line) to "pick" we know whose been getting all the money and when slim comes on here he will say he is taking TONS of OU money

knowing what we know, how can we NOT take usc now that they are "pick"!?
 

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WINKY- At this point, it is either take USC or pass, agree.

To take OLKA at pk when one could have had +3 or better is just asking for trouble IMO.

This has ALWAYS been a golden rule with me...........and that is to never take the worst of a number in a fashion similar to this.

There are THOUSANDS of games to be wagered on during a course of year, hence passing on a bad number is no big deal.
 

Tireless Rebuttter
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Fishhead said:
WINKY- At this point, it is either take USC or pass, agree.

To take OLKA at pk when one could have had +3 or better is just asking for trouble IMO.

This has ALWAYS been a golden rule with me...........and that is to never take the worst of a number in a fashion similar to this.

There are THOUSANDS of games to be wagered on during a course of year, hence passing on a bad number is no big deal.

Yeah... You can't take Oklahoma now. If you waited till the last minute to look at the game and now think Oklahoma can win you just have to pass. You gotta look at these games the minute the # is released.
 

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I am sitting on a oky +3 ticket, but I am seriously considering creating a free middle. This is a coin flip in my opinion at +1 would have to take USC or no play.
 

Pump n Dump
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jwunderdog said:
I am sitting on a oky +3 ticket, but I am seriously considering creating a free middle. This is a coin flip in my opinion at +1 would have to take USC or no play.
Same position here... free middle chance. No opinion on the game side, like the under though.
 

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Well to say its a bad number NOW, is one thing that holds true When linemaker posted correct operner, right?
I have thought sinse the opener was hung up at USC -3, which i Never saw the 3.5 or would have taken it for sure. I still contend that the opener was a "terrible" number to open with................JMO
 

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Does anyone remember the first Jets-Dolphins game this past season? The Jets opened like -3.5 and went up to 6.5 or 7. Of course anyone who bet the Jets late was an "idiot" and the bet had "no value" at that "inflated" number.

Of course the Jets won by 8 and the "idiots" cleaned up from the "sharps".
 

mhk

"I can't be faded", Dr. Dre
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Never got OU @ 3.5, just the three, but now USC getting a point, i'm like the other guys, thinking hard on the middle, 4 numbers for only 10%?? Guess i'll just watch the lines, it might get a little more attractive for us..
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
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Number 13 said:
Does anyone remember the first Jets-Dolphins game this past season? The Jets opened like -3.5 and went up to 6.5 or 7. Of course anyone who bet the Jets late was an "idiot" and the bet had "no value" at that "inflated" number.

Of course the Jets won by 8 and the "idiots" cleaned up from the "sharps".
It would be interesting to see the percentage of winners on a 3+ point move in any sport. I would think 40% tops.
 

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