(NFL) Dog plus 4 minus 109 or buy to plus 5.5 minus 128?

TheGeneral+ · Jan 8, 2005

What are your thoughts on this?

Thanks

Noreaga+ · Jan 8, 2005

i dont know the probabilities of 4 and 5.5 but getting 1.5 points for 19 cents is a steal as far as that aspect goes

royalfan · Jan 8, 2005

my personal preference would be the 4 points at plus 109 in a landslide.

TheGeneral+ · Jan 8, 2005

I wonder if we can determine anything from that steal offer?

D2bets · Jan 8, 2005

+4-109 for sure. 19 cents for that 1.5 pts is a ripoff, not a steal.

royalfan · Jan 8, 2005

Noreaga said:
i dont know the probabilities of 4 and 5.5 but getting 1.5 points for 19 cents is a steal as far as that aspect goes

Unless I am misreading it, isn't it 37 cents? That would change your mind wouldn't it?

royalfan · Jan 8, 2005

My bad, I did misread it. I was thinking it said plus 109. No real opinion now is my stance. Sorry to jumble up the thread.

Noreaga+ · Jan 8, 2005

19 cents for 1.5 points is NOT a rip off half points go 10 cents a piece , sir.

TheGeneral+ · Jan 8, 2005

I am curious as to why the buy is as cheap as it is, Steal or robbery? It isn't that expensive IMO and I hate to lay 109. I know I would not lay 128 on many things, except NASCAR and props.

Slash · Jan 8, 2005

Noreaga said:
i dont know the probabilities of 4 and 5.5 but getting 1.5 points for 19 cents is a steal as far as that aspect goes

Nowhere near being a steal in football. You can buy from 4 to 5.5 at Pinnacle for 19 cents, so those 1½ points are definitely worth less than 19 cents... Probably in the 14-15 cent region.

royalfan · Jan 8, 2005

I would say that pinnacle knows what the juices should be better than anyone and you are obviously looking at their numbers. Due to the fact that the juice spread gets wider the farther you get from the REAL line of 4, it makes the 4 points at -109 the better option due to slightly cheaper juice.

UWinSports · Jan 8, 2005

moneyline +165 General.

bucsfan67 · Jan 8, 2005

You'll be better to take Seattle and lay the (-4) and cash your ticket...

Rams weaknesses catch up to them today....

They'll be out of timeouts 3 minutes into the second quarter, and that will be the best coaching Martz does.....

Not to mention, on at least one occasion, they will be inside the 25, and go for it, and not make it....that fg, might be the one that would have gotten the cover...

Prediction today

Seattle 31
Rams 20

Glaken · Jan 8, 2005

General you are obviously trying to Ram some money in your wallet...have you checked the weather in Seattle? If you win with 5.5/128 its a better risk than losing at 4/109.

I swear I see this as a Seahawk rout...Domers and cold/sleet are not a good fit.

Good Luck, G

I'll take the under

Rainbow · Jan 8, 2005

I wouldnt take +4 -09 I would try to get +4.5 -15. not many games fall 5. too much juice.

basesAREloaded · Jan 8, 2005

I like the +0 +166 at the moment :>Grin> ......crunch time might break 170.

Go get 'em General.

TheGeneral+ · Jan 8, 2005

Anthony, you will likely be cashing today. Seattle may be looking for a new coach after today.

D2bets · Jan 8, 2005

Noreaga said:
19 cents for 1.5 points is NOT a rip off half points go 10 cents a piece , sir.

Just because you can doesn't mean you should, or that it is worth it. 30 cents for that 1.5 pts would simply be much MORE of a ripoff. Slash is probably about right with the 14-15 cent est...though I think it's probably a 'lil less than that.

TheGeneral+ · Jan 8, 2005

Live betting offered all night. Could see some serious chances here.

billpapa · Jan 8, 2005

If Pinnacle is ready to sell you the 1.5 points for 19 cents you can bet your bottom dollar that they are worth less than 19 cents. My guess is 12 maybe 13 cents tops.