Anthony I'm just trying to learn what a half a point is worth on a CBB total. I know it has to be worth more than what a NBA half is worth because the totals are much lower than the NBA. I know, on average, a half is worth around 4 cents on a NBA total. I was hoping someone with the data would know for CBB.
Hitman
Hitman
Hitman:
When trying to middle any sport, it is not about what a point or more is worth. It is how many times you must be successful in your middle attempts to cover the vig. For instance, if you are laying 10% vig, you need to hit a middle 1 in every 20 attempts to break even. Do the math using any simple example of laying 11/10 on each middle attempt and you should see what I mean.
When trying to middle any sport, it is not about what a point or more is worth. It is how many times you must be successful in your middle attempts to cover the vig. For instance, if you are laying 10% vig, you need to hit a middle 1 in every 20 attempts to break even. Do the math using any simple example of laying 11/10 on each middle attempt and you should see what I mean.
Hitman,
Excellent Thread!
As a rule, you need to have a 2 1/2 point spread to have a significant edge over the sports book when trying to middle hoops laying 10 cents on each one...
In your situation, you only have a 2 point difference.
Given that the totals are lower than in the NBA, I think your situation is CLOSE but I personally would NOT do it without having a 2 1/2 point variance...
And if I did do it, I would look for shops offering reduced juice, which should not be a problem in today's market...
THE SHRINK
Excellent Thread!
As a rule, you need to have a 2 1/2 point spread to have a significant edge over the sports book when trying to middle hoops laying 10 cents on each one...
In your situation, you only have a 2 point difference.
Given that the totals are lower than in the NBA, I think your situation is CLOSE but I personally would NOT do it without having a 2 1/2 point variance...
And if I did do it, I would look for shops offering reduced juice, which should not be a problem in today's market...
THE SHRINK
Hitman, I know of no one that has this data for college hoops and I don't have the time to research it myself. If you haven't got the data, it is just a wild ass guess. Even though the totals are lower for college hoops I think the Stad. dev. off the # may be higher then Pro hoops, meaning you need more points. THat is a total shitass guess though.
Have a look at this thread:
http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=193076
http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=193076
Thanks Picasso. I thought it was close but I figured it was slightly a loser.
Coacher:
Thanks for the advice, I'm gonna go apply at all of the Mickey D's in the area. I know you love food so I was wondering if you could go on the Subway diet and become the new spokesman for Subway taking the job away from that chump Jared. Subway's profits would rise at least 20% once America saw that first ad with JJ Gold at the helm. The way I figure it, you have a year to drop the weight, and you could be ready to go for next years Superbowl.
Do you like Subway's food Coacher?
Hitter
Coacher:
Thanks for the advice, I'm gonna go apply at all of the Mickey D's in the area. I know you love food so I was wondering if you could go on the Subway diet and become the new spokesman for Subway taking the job away from that chump Jared. Subway's profits would rise at least 20% once America saw that first ad with JJ Gold at the helm. The way I figure it, you have a year to drop the weight, and you could be ready to go for next years Superbowl.
Do you like Subway's food Coacher?
Hitter
