Going For 3 Straight Wins On ODU Games...

THE SHRINK · Jan 22, 2005

ODU (16-2) (6-0 C) -9 points vs. NC Wilmington (10-5) (5-1 C)

It was long overdue but I think I am onto something with this team from my hometown, namely ODU...

The # 1 and # 2 teams in the CAA Conference get together tonight at ODU with FIRST PLACE on the line...

It is no coincidence that the reason these teams are ahead is their DEFENSE, with ODU ranking 1st and NC Wilmington 2nd in the conference...

What many don't realize is HOW GOOD UNC WILMINGTON is at HOME, and I'd have to say that their HOME COURT advantage is the BIGGEST out of all the teams in the conference, with ODU a close second...

On the other hand, despite their 5-1 start, UNC WILMINTON is an AWFUL ROAD team, and they got lucky to beat the WORST team in this league by one point (JMU) recently on the road...

Also, the matchups favor ODU by a lot...

UNCW has a very good team this year, much better than most people had predicted, so I guess in that respect they are alot like ODU. The Seahawks have some very good shooters, that when they are on can be tough to defend.

Like many other games this year, ODU has much more talent and depth in the post, and must take advantage of it to win. ODU'S guards are a little faster than UNCW, but Goldsberry of NC Wilmington has great court presence and really plays smart. I would like to see ODU push the ball early and get out in front of them: If they do, which I believe they will, ODU should not have to look back...

One other note, UNCW is very suspect in defending drives to the hoop. I suspect ODU can get Drew, Issaih and company to explot that early.

ODU by 15 is my prediction...

BEST OF LUCK,

THE SHRINK

sportsbet · Jan 22, 2005

arty:

How can you not at least put a little something on it? Good Luck to us Ken.

sb

TheGeneral+ · Jan 22, 2005

Thanks SHRINK. Yet to make a bet today. I may take a shot.

Good Luck Sir

Dante · Jan 22, 2005

good luck Shrink....

IDENTITY · Jan 22, 2005

i played it as well kenny. good luck sir.

THE SHRINK · Jan 22, 2005

Thanks IDENTITY, sportsbet, General & Dante...

I will be leaving soon to cheer them on...

arty:

mjred · Jan 22, 2005

this combined with Digger's endorsement makes one tend to think....FADE.

gonna pass anyway, gl to all y'all ODU backers.

JudgeWapner · Jan 22, 2005

Why not.

Lawrence · Jan 22, 2005

nice writeup..i will be on them as well..

HPark1 · Jan 22, 2005

Yet to make a bet today

General what are you waiting for? Not enough to choose from today? Get in the game! :hihi

Appreciate write up and selection Shrink. :shootbb:

gl2u

GreenDoberman · Jan 22, 2005

disparity in the CAA is huge, fading the bottom 3 teams has been extremely profitable.

Towson, W & M , and JMU are all horrible.

The bet of the day was Drexel laying 15.5 to Towson. I posted it earlier in the hoops forum.

JMU is a team that is short-handed and is laying down and dying. I'm sure Shrink can comment on how far the Dukes have fallen if he saw them at the Constant.

D2bets · Jan 22, 2005

With the exception of their loss at Chapel Hill by 21, UNCW has not lost by more than 9 all season. In a game where points should be at a premium, I would not feel comfortable laying 9 here. Plus, UNCW makes over 8 3-ptrs/game and ODU's FT shooting is OK, but not great, making a late backdoor a more distinct possibility.

I see something along the lines of 62-57 ODU but not planning on betting it unless the line steams up a bit.

Good luck, Shrink.

THE SHRINK · Jan 22, 2005

D2Bets,

During the past 2 years, ODU has WON 4 consecutive games against NC WILMINGTON when ODU wasn't nearly this good...

With all due respect, NC WILMINGTON was down by 24 POINTS at HALFTIME to UNC, who rested their starters for most of the 2nd half!!!

They also lost at HOME to Illinois Chicago by 9..

And, look at these patsies that NC WILMINGTON has faced...

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width=582 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>11/19</TD><TD width=170>Marshall</TD><TD width=125>W 58-57</TD><TD>1-0</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>11/23</TD><TD width=170>at North Texas</TD><TD width=125>L 76-69</TD><TD>1-1</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>11/27</TD><TD width=170>at NC Asheville</TD><TD width=125>W 57-54</TD><TD>2-1</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>11/30</TD><TD width=170>Campbell</TD><TD width=125>W 75-52</TD><TD>3-1</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>12/5</TD><TD width=170>VA Commonwealth</TD><TD width=125>W 68-63</TD><TD>4-1 (1-0)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>12/12</TD><TD width=170>Illinois (Chi.)</TD><TD width=125>L 76-67</TD><TD>4-2</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>12/16</TD><TD width=170>at Coll Of Charltn</TD><TD width=125>L 59-57</TD><TD>4-3</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>12/18</TD><TD width=170>at Coastal Carolina</TD><TD width=125>W 64-61</TD><TD>5-3</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>12/28</TD><TD width=170>at No. 5 North Carolina</TD><TD width=125>L 96-75</TD><TD>5-4</TD><TD>

</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>12/31</TD><TD width=170>Elon University</TD><TD width=125>W 71-48</TD><TD>6-4</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>01/3</TD><TD width=170>at James Madison</TD><TD width=125>W 49-48</TD><TD>7-4 (2-0)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>01/8</TD><TD width=170>at George Mason</TD><TD width=125>L 74-69</TD><TD>7-5 (2-1)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>01/12</TD><TD width=170>Hofstra</TD><TD width=125>W 81-74</TD><TD>8-5 (3-1)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#efefe7><TD width=43>01/15</TD><TD width=170>Towson</TD><TD width=125>W 77-59</TD><TD>9-5 (4-1)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR vAlign=top bgColor=#ffffff><TD width=43>01/19</TD><TD width=170>at William & Mary</TD><TD width=125>W 54-49</TD><TD>10-5 (5-1)










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TheGeneral+ · Jan 22, 2005

General what are you waiting for? Not enough to choose from today? Get in the game! :hihi

Just reading along here this afternoon. Looking over some NBA for tonight. I'll try and find something for a positive return. SHRINK may have given it already.

Noreaga+ · Jan 22, 2005

General,

Take a look at Golden St, it will drop all day... Cleveland playing their last game of a 6 game west coast trip McInnins OUT also hearing Drew Gooden may be unavailable because of the flu.

THE SHRINK · Jan 22, 2005

GreenDoberman said:
disparity in the CAA is huge, fading the bottom 3 teams has been extremely profitable.

Towson, W & M , and JMU are all horrible.

The bet of the day was Drexel laying 15.5 to Towson. I posted it earlier in the hoops forum.

JMU is a team that is short-handed and is laying down and dying. I'm sure Shrink can comment on how far the Dukes have fallen if he saw them at the Constant.

YOU NAILED IT!!!!

I was talking to someone else about this exact topic the other day...

bigbet1234 · Jan 22, 2005

Good luck Shrink, hope you nail it!

D2bets · Jan 22, 2005

Fair enough Shrink, I'm just saying UNCW tends to hang around in ballgames. And North Carolina is just a different brand of basketball. They would paste ODU as well.

Just not seeing any value here. But I really do hope you win...unless the line moves and I can get +10.5 or better.

oldmanTED · Jan 22, 2005

For what it's worth, the Gold Sheet has released UNC Wilmington as a late phone selection today. Over the last 3 days they are 2-10 with additional plays pending today. Fade the Gold Sheet and follow the Shrink! Best of luck guys.

THE SHRINK · Jan 22, 2005

oldmanTED said:
For what it's worth, the Gold Sheet has released UNC Wilmington as a late phone selection today. Over the last 3 days they are 2-10 with additional plays pending today. Fade the Gold Sheet and follow the Shrink! Best of luck guys.

I love it, I think.... :icon_conf