LOL I have a tendancy to get on people's nerves I guess. But totally not my intent.
I do my own thing most of the time.
I did get into the whole posting plays mess at Covers back in 2001 when they first started up. But no matter what you did it wasn't good enough.
Kiss was my favortie over there. I had pages upon pages of plays and he still wanted to know everything about them. But he meant well. The thing is I was doing it for fun, not selling or scamming. Trying to put up stuff for people to make money on. it may have not been thelong term stuff heloves to get into. But it was long enough, and good enough to have people email me daily to get plays.
But that isn't my style, and never will be. It is hard enough trying to get my plays in wothout worrying about someone else all the time. So I just stopped posting altogther. Not anywhere, not even here where I was just a fly on the wall.
But now since I am around and the debates can be fun,I will post once in awhile. A little more lately since that age old debate (-3 in the NFL) is one of my favorite subjects to argue.
Even so, with yeras and years of resukts and database stuff, it still comes down to the here and now. Everything else is all theory. Because what I know,the books know too. Sometimes they will utilize when they adjust a line, sometimes they won't.
The one secret I learned, and theone I try to convey whenever I give an opinion is...to beat a book (which is a misnomer) you have to bet like a book.
If books can take on all comers and make money adjusting almost on a miniscule level, then why can't players do that? I was scalping and hedging before most guys were betting. As were all the 'legends'. Anyone knows that is the tried and true way to make money. The players have an even bigger advantage in that tey can watch and wait. Plus they have no overhead. So a nickle to me is all profit (as long as the book pays).
Some guys like to belittle it or make it seem less than glamorous. It works, and it is profitable. I would rather be a productive grinder than a flashy loser anyday of the week.
Besides these days you have to take leads to get the most bang for your buck, and that definately requires some gamble and some skill. It doesn't take many "wrong side" leads to kil profits it took weeks to obtain. If I buy the Red Sox at -135 thinking they will go to -160, and they close -130 then I am stuck, or buying back at a loss. So it isn't all that easy.
But I don't think I have to justify it or make it seem like it is something it isn't. In some ways it requires more skill, in others it requires nothing but timing and a big bankroll. But it is also a lot more boring than needing a team to score ina last second fashion. But overall that is a benefit too. No highs and lows.
