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RPM

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with s.f. up 10-0 in the 6th, it looks like i have the first 3 of a 4 team parlay with the white sox going tonight. i have 100 to win 1570 on this parlay.


should i put something on w.s. to LOSE just to make sure i make a profit???

if so, how much????
 

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WOW! Great job so far. Most people would tell you to stick with your parlay. I think Santana gets it done at home tonight. I would put a wager to win about 500 on the Twins....sop either way you win at least 500. Though...we all know I am fade mateiral now.
 

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I say roll with what you got. Putting something on the Twins would be like playing blackjack and buying insurance. Which in my case I never do.

Just my take.

GOODLUCK TO YOU EITHER WAY MY FRIEND
 

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RPM,

Thats a great parlay going. Actually I feel its a winner as is. BUT I would put 300 to win 200 on Minnesota if I were you, this way you are guaranteed something in return. A profit of 100 or 1100, not bad! Good LUCK BUDDY! GO WHITE SOX!!!!!!!
 

RPM

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mc,

thats what im thinking. i double popped the o's with 1st 5 innings and for the game, plus i hit the mets, and it looks real good for s.f.

been a great day, and even better if the parlay hits, but i just cant see not maximizing profits with something on the twins to MAKE sure i add to a good day.
 

UF. Champion U.
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I would say you guarantee yourself a 100 dollar profit at least. Johan is pitching at home but the WhiteSox have started hot. Anything can happen in baseball more so than any other sport. Johan had a rough first outing last time and a rough outing in general, that will be fresh in his head. If he gets in any trouble, it will be in the first few innings. You have a good parlay going, I think it would be a shame to not guarantee yourself some kind of profit.

Congrats.
 

RPM

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KEEP THE SUGGESTIONS COMING!!!!


im heading to work, but will stop in before the game and decide what to do, and let you guys know what i decided....
 

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good luck RPM...are you going to hedge?? for sure I would man...But 300 on the Twinkies as a hedge still make a nice profit if soxs win
 

UF. Champion U.
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Not the same as blackjack insurance at all. Bad analogy for this situation. Blackjack insurance does not guarantee you a profit. You can lose your insurance if the dealer doesnt have blackjack and then lose your hand too if he has 20.This guy can guarantee himself a profit. You always take money, that's why we're here.
 

Rx Post Doc
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Boxslayer is exactly correct. One of the best ideas ever is to make good parlays but with one later game so that if they all hit but that one then you can guarantee a profit before that last game begins. I would put $500 on Chi Sox and receive $1000 or $400. I wouldn't let it ride AT ALL. The ratio of payout you are willing to risk/guarantee is what you need to figure out. HOWEVER, I will say that anything can happen. You can decide worst case scenarios! I would be in the same position if BOSTON had won today. Now, I've got bupkis!! Congratulations to you on a GREAT problem. tulsa
 

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I agree with MC, I would put 500-600 on Minny tonight. This is a dream situation where you can gaurantee yourself a profit, in a sense by taking the twins your essentially take the gamble out of gambling and assure yourself a profit of at the very least a few houndred $$$...

good luck whatever you do,

Ice
 

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RPM,

All of our friends suggestions are reasonable and they all have
one common denominator - no arithmetic basis whatsoever.

If you bet Minnesota it is a separate action and will stand
only on it's merits. Do it only if you can't stand the thought of
coming up empty.

If moneyline is accurate CWS are 37% to
win (you win big $$$) and 63% to lose (you lose $100) - you
obviously have a big edge and over many occurences would
:103631605 make a fortune!
 

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I stand corrected . Good points . And after my initial suggestion......


GUARANTEE YOUR PROFIT. AS LONG AS YOU CAN AFFORD IT PUT THE NICE RETURN MONEY ON THE TWINS !!!!!

My Common Sense has been lost in my loses from Boston & Angels
 

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If you really want to gamble take the Twins -1.5 +150 or so....and hope it doesnt land on Twins by 1 :)
 

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Ah Yes...MATHPROF is right BUT did you read his caveat: over many occurances. The law of large numbers is not on your side, though. Although the words of Mathprof ring true, the problem is the 'over many occurances.' You are in a position to guarantee yourself profit. Maybe one way that you could take into account the Mathprof's suggestion is to use his approx 40% 60% breakdown and do this: Actually, I would have to think about this a bit longer, but it has to do with expected values. IN short HEDGE. THere absolutely is a mathematically optimum HEDGE amount, but it AINT not hedgin at all!!! Trust me on this. You should obviously hedge such that if Minny wins you receive far more than you would if Chi Sox wins because Minny is the odds on favorite! I would do the $500 play. $400 (chi sox win) to $1000 (minny wins) seems to me to be 'about' right, but I know there is an optimum amount given expected values of what you are receiving. (nothing against Mathprof, and I love his posts) tulsa
 

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WITHOUT A QUESTION you are to LOCK in a profit....."gambling" is a grind and whenever you have the chance of "LOCKING" in a profit you do it! Just sit back and watch the game knowing you'll win either way. I respect MC skills, but what he suggested was ridiculous...please do not play Minn-1.5 ......all you'll gurante with that is heartache GL to you

Couldn't agree with TULSA more!!
 

I think I want my money back!
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Guaranteed Profit in This business.



:toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast:


Need I say More
 

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joelatti said:
WITHOUT A QUESTION you are to LOCK in a profit....."gambling" is a grind and whenever you have the chance of "LOCKING" in a profit you do it! Just sit back and watch the game knowing you'll win either way. I respect MC skills, but what he suggested was ridiculous...please do not play Minn-1.5 ......all you'll gurante with that is heartache GL to you

Couldn't agree with TULSA more!!

MY 2nd post was a joke...hence the :)
 

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