Hope you all enjoy my article and have some comments on it...
David
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by David Matthews - Lasvegasadvisor.com
One of the most important news items related to Internet gambling in quite some time is the recent decision by the World Trade Organization in the dispute between the island country of Antigua and the United States. Many pundits and observers have compared this case to the David & Goliath biblical tale, where tiny Antigua took one of the mightiest federal governments in the world. The WTO ruling was the highest possible, so no appeals can follow. The results? They’re as clear as the status of Internet gambling itself: murky at best.
Antigua has a population of 67,000. The entire nation would barely populate a large town in the U. S. Yet its status in the WTO is as an equal participant. Antigua was one of the first countries to allow Internet gambling businesses to operate from within its borders. The effect on the island country has been enormous; Today, Internet gambling comprises nearly one fifth of the country's annual tax revenues.
Antigua's argument before the WTO panel was that U.S. restrictions on Internet gambling violates free-trade agreements by not allowing the companies in Antigua to freely market to U.S. customers. The initial ruling, in 2003, went against the U.S, which immediately appealed. The WTO made its final judgment last Thursday, April 7, 2005.
The U.S. is claiming victory. Antigua is also claiming victory. Every news article on the ruling seems to have its own bias. Here’s a sampling of relevant headlines:
"This win confirms what we knew from the start -- WTO members are entitled to maintain restrictions on Internet gambling," said Peter Allgeier, the acting U.S. trade representative. "This report essentially says that if we clarify U.S. Internet gambling restrictions in a certain way, we'll be fine."
In other words, at this point, the U.S. is not "fine." Allgeier uses the word "clarify," while Antiguan proponents would substitute the term "legislate" in his above statement. More than mere semantics, this is a critical difference of opinion and interpretation. Here's what’s at the heart of the differing conclusions.
The U.S.' primary argument at the WTO hearings was that the WTO agreements allowed a country to restrict trade if it has a negative impact on "public morals." The U.S. contended that Internet gambling compromises the "public morals" of its citizens, so the ban is enforceable under the WTO terms. Lawyers for Antigua countered by pointing to the proliferation of gambling in the U.S., from casinos and horse racing to state and multi-state lotteries. Its argument was that America has no legislated moral aversion to gambling.
The one specific aspect of Antigua's argument that the WTO considered acceptable is that Internet wagering is permitted in the U.S. on horse racing. The Horseracing Act, a law passed in 2000, allows betting on horses over the Internet in the U.S. The WTO argued that the U.S. allows Internet wagering on horses over state borders, yet prohibits betting on horse racing at international tracks.
This is the point that the U.S. wants to "clarify" and that opponents want the U.S. to "legislate." My opinion is that it’s not so simple as clarifying. The U.S. would have to rescind the Horse Racing Act before it can prohibit Internet gambling while complying with the WTO. The horse racing lobby is rich and powerful one, and obviously strongly opposes such a prohibition. It appears as though it would take a coordinated effort between U.S. trade representatives, the U.S. Attorney General's office, and Congress to pass a law banning online horse betting. Congress, for one, would have a tough time defying opposition from the horse racing lobby.
In other words, because the U.S. will be incapable of complying with the directive from the WTO ruling body, Antigua is the winner of the lawsuit.
But what does winning really mean for Antigua?
In Antigua's opinion, it means that any American who wants to gamble online should have free access to doing so. They should be able to use credit cards, Western Union, or bank transfers. They should be able to deposit money, gamble, and cash out with no hassles. American companies that have refused Internet gambling advertising, such as Yahoo, Google, and television and radio stations, should be allowed to carry ads for Antiguan online gambling companies.
Undoubtedly, the U.S. government will take a different tack. The feds have a history of ignoring unfavorable rulings by non-binding organizations. A recent example is the rebuff of a WTO ruling against the U.S. regarding the collection of $4 billion in tariffs on lumber from Canada. I see no evidence that the Bush administration will try to comply with the Antigua ruling. In fact, I'd be surprised if we get as much as lip service.
So, from my perspective, the situation is a wash at this point. Antigua wins a moral victory and nothing more. The U.S. gets enough ambiguity that it can justify the action it was going to take anyway: none. Antigua's moral victory is the U.S.' practical victory.
For the long term, however, the WTO ruling seems like a positive for online gambling supporters. It's my belief that one such ruling provides a precedent that opens the door for other countries to follow suit. Countries like Canada, the U.K., Australia, South Africa, Israel, Costa Rica, India, and others either host online gambling providers or companies that earn their money from online gambling, such as money-transfer ooperations or third-party marketing firms working directly with online casinos, race and sports books, and poker rooms.
If these countries take this issue to the WTO and win, it wouldn’t be just a 67,000-person island country. Large first-world countries, valuable political, military, and trade partners with the U.S., could institute sanctions that could have an impact on our economy. Would the U.S. be so obstinate as to defy the WTO's rulings if these countries were involved? Possibly, but the complexity would be much greater.
If opposition begins to mount through the WTO, the U.S. could decide to ease up, perhaps even legalize, regulate, and tax the industry. Conversely, it could unleash a backlash and pass sweeping legislation banning online gambling altogether. It'll depend a great deal on what administration is in office when the situation comes to a head. It'll also depend on the American people's views toward online gambling. As each day passes, more and more people are playing online. More and more Americans are signing up at Party Poker and Pinnacle sports book and Casino On Net. It's getting to the point where someone in your office or in your department at work is probably gambling on the Internet. In fact, I'm sure a few people sitting on Capitol Hill have a bet or two down on tonight's TV game.
Overall, the WTO ruling is a positive. The original ruling (pre-appeals) was perhaps two steps forward. This latest was probably one step back, but we're still ahead of the game. Watch for the scene to heat up as online gambling companies try to advertise with U.S. companies, and sue when rejected. We'll stay on top of it as best we can.
David
________________________________________________
The Antigua Decision
by David Matthews - Lasvegasadvisor.com
One of the most important news items related to Internet gambling in quite some time is the recent decision by the World Trade Organization in the dispute between the island country of Antigua and the United States. Many pundits and observers have compared this case to the David & Goliath biblical tale, where tiny Antigua took one of the mightiest federal governments in the world. The WTO ruling was the highest possible, so no appeals can follow. The results? They’re as clear as the status of Internet gambling itself: murky at best.
Antigua has a population of 67,000. The entire nation would barely populate a large town in the U. S. Yet its status in the WTO is as an equal participant. Antigua was one of the first countries to allow Internet gambling businesses to operate from within its borders. The effect on the island country has been enormous; Today, Internet gambling comprises nearly one fifth of the country's annual tax revenues.
Antigua's argument before the WTO panel was that U.S. restrictions on Internet gambling violates free-trade agreements by not allowing the companies in Antigua to freely market to U.S. customers. The initial ruling, in 2003, went against the U.S, which immediately appealed. The WTO made its final judgment last Thursday, April 7, 2005.
The U.S. is claiming victory. Antigua is also claiming victory. Every news article on the ruling seems to have its own bias. Here’s a sampling of relevant headlines:
"WTO Upholds U.S. Online Gaming Prohibitions" from Boost Marketing.
"U.S., Antigua both claim WTO win" from MarketWatch.
"World Trade Organization Rules in Favour of Antigua" from Online Casino News.
"WTO lets US limit Internet gambling" from the Washington Times.
"WTO slams US Net-gambling ban" from ZDNet.
"U.S. Wins Hand in Gambling Feud" from InternetNews.com.
"U.S. cannot block Internet gambling" from Deseret News.
There are many more. Go to Google News, search for "Antigua WTO," and you'll find a slew of conflicting accounts and opinions. What people do agree on -- and even U.S. trade representatives and attorneys admit it, while downplaying it -- is that the current U.S. policies and laws are violation of the WTO. "U.S., Antigua both claim WTO win" from MarketWatch.
"World Trade Organization Rules in Favour of Antigua" from Online Casino News.
"WTO lets US limit Internet gambling" from the Washington Times.
"WTO slams US Net-gambling ban" from ZDNet.
"U.S. Wins Hand in Gambling Feud" from InternetNews.com.
"U.S. cannot block Internet gambling" from Deseret News.
"This win confirms what we knew from the start -- WTO members are entitled to maintain restrictions on Internet gambling," said Peter Allgeier, the acting U.S. trade representative. "This report essentially says that if we clarify U.S. Internet gambling restrictions in a certain way, we'll be fine."
In other words, at this point, the U.S. is not "fine." Allgeier uses the word "clarify," while Antiguan proponents would substitute the term "legislate" in his above statement. More than mere semantics, this is a critical difference of opinion and interpretation. Here's what’s at the heart of the differing conclusions.
The U.S.' primary argument at the WTO hearings was that the WTO agreements allowed a country to restrict trade if it has a negative impact on "public morals." The U.S. contended that Internet gambling compromises the "public morals" of its citizens, so the ban is enforceable under the WTO terms. Lawyers for Antigua countered by pointing to the proliferation of gambling in the U.S., from casinos and horse racing to state and multi-state lotteries. Its argument was that America has no legislated moral aversion to gambling.
The one specific aspect of Antigua's argument that the WTO considered acceptable is that Internet wagering is permitted in the U.S. on horse racing. The Horseracing Act, a law passed in 2000, allows betting on horses over the Internet in the U.S. The WTO argued that the U.S. allows Internet wagering on horses over state borders, yet prohibits betting on horse racing at international tracks.
This is the point that the U.S. wants to "clarify" and that opponents want the U.S. to "legislate." My opinion is that it’s not so simple as clarifying. The U.S. would have to rescind the Horse Racing Act before it can prohibit Internet gambling while complying with the WTO. The horse racing lobby is rich and powerful one, and obviously strongly opposes such a prohibition. It appears as though it would take a coordinated effort between U.S. trade representatives, the U.S. Attorney General's office, and Congress to pass a law banning online horse betting. Congress, for one, would have a tough time defying opposition from the horse racing lobby.
In other words, because the U.S. will be incapable of complying with the directive from the WTO ruling body, Antigua is the winner of the lawsuit.
But what does winning really mean for Antigua?
In Antigua's opinion, it means that any American who wants to gamble online should have free access to doing so. They should be able to use credit cards, Western Union, or bank transfers. They should be able to deposit money, gamble, and cash out with no hassles. American companies that have refused Internet gambling advertising, such as Yahoo, Google, and television and radio stations, should be allowed to carry ads for Antiguan online gambling companies.
Undoubtedly, the U.S. government will take a different tack. The feds have a history of ignoring unfavorable rulings by non-binding organizations. A recent example is the rebuff of a WTO ruling against the U.S. regarding the collection of $4 billion in tariffs on lumber from Canada. I see no evidence that the Bush administration will try to comply with the Antigua ruling. In fact, I'd be surprised if we get as much as lip service.
So, from my perspective, the situation is a wash at this point. Antigua wins a moral victory and nothing more. The U.S. gets enough ambiguity that it can justify the action it was going to take anyway: none. Antigua's moral victory is the U.S.' practical victory.
For the long term, however, the WTO ruling seems like a positive for online gambling supporters. It's my belief that one such ruling provides a precedent that opens the door for other countries to follow suit. Countries like Canada, the U.K., Australia, South Africa, Israel, Costa Rica, India, and others either host online gambling providers or companies that earn their money from online gambling, such as money-transfer ooperations or third-party marketing firms working directly with online casinos, race and sports books, and poker rooms.
If these countries take this issue to the WTO and win, it wouldn’t be just a 67,000-person island country. Large first-world countries, valuable political, military, and trade partners with the U.S., could institute sanctions that could have an impact on our economy. Would the U.S. be so obstinate as to defy the WTO's rulings if these countries were involved? Possibly, but the complexity would be much greater.
If opposition begins to mount through the WTO, the U.S. could decide to ease up, perhaps even legalize, regulate, and tax the industry. Conversely, it could unleash a backlash and pass sweeping legislation banning online gambling altogether. It'll depend a great deal on what administration is in office when the situation comes to a head. It'll also depend on the American people's views toward online gambling. As each day passes, more and more people are playing online. More and more Americans are signing up at Party Poker and Pinnacle sports book and Casino On Net. It's getting to the point where someone in your office or in your department at work is probably gambling on the Internet. In fact, I'm sure a few people sitting on Capitol Hill have a bet or two down on tonight's TV game.
Overall, the WTO ruling is a positive. The original ruling (pre-appeals) was perhaps two steps forward. This latest was probably one step back, but we're still ahead of the game. Watch for the scene to heat up as online gambling companies try to advertise with U.S. companies, and sue when rejected. We'll stay on top of it as best we can.
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