cincy_hugg said:
Here is the game that I bet.
Fla Marlins -1 (-111)
-1.5 (+120)
ML (-138)
I was going to lay $100 at -111, which would pay $90.09. Instead, I bet $58 to win 42.03 on the ML, and $42 to win $50.40 on the -1.5 RL. So, if the -1 hits, the payout would be 92.43, instead of $90.09. If they win by one, I push just like the -1 line. So it's very close to -108. I don't know if it's universal, but it worked out for this game. Right now, the line has changed, but it's still on the board.
I just did the calculations on the Padres tonight and it is the same. Line on the Padres is -1 (-123) at Pinnacle. If you do the algebra and balance it, you can actually get -1 (-120). Who said 9th grade math would never come in handy? I guess Pinnacle figures we won't run the numbers if we like -1.
cincy_hugg said:
The samples that I've done show that you get about 3 cents better on each side, if you mix the ML and 1.5 run lines. Take the Angels/Mariners game tonight, if you bet Mariners +1, it's -115, but if you mix +1.5 and ML, you can get about -112. If you bet the Angels -1, it's +101, but if you mix -1.5 and ML, you can get over +104. So I guess they just figure that most people won't take the time and do the calculations themselves. Cause everything that I see says that you should never bet the -1 or +1 lines. -1 may be a sucker bet, I don't know, but at least I'm getting a better line than they are giving out.
Illini said:
scratching my head at this because you are the one who made a whole post about this last season....i'm not going to search but I'll bet you a dime it was you that posted the ##s and how it's better to bet some at ML and some at 1.5!! You must've been hittin the bong out in vegas.
