<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">4</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-3.99 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">17</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">28</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-11.55 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2005)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">17</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">28</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-11.55 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pittsburgh +1.40 over CINCINNATI (12:35 PM)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
We’re seeing a slew of ordinary pitchers get off to a strong start and than and than fall flat on their faces and we’re seeing pitchers that have been decent in the past get rocked and than pick up their game. That’s precisely the situation here with Eric Milton and Kip Wells. Milton is about as ordinary as they come and even with his 2-1 record he still has an ERA of 4.86 and he’s allowed 20 hits and five jacks in just 16.2 innings of work. Kip Wells is 0-3 with a 7.23 ERA, however, he’s been progressively sharper in every start and by no means is he the second best pitcher on the hill today. We’ll play against Milton every time as the chalk and absolutely make no exception here. Play: Pittsburgh +1.40 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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Chicago +1.55 over ST. LOUIS (1:10 PM)<o></o>
Number here is way out of whack as Ryan Dempster has some of the filthiest pitches in the business. Dempster is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA but don’t let that fool you. He had one bad outing in three and that came in his first start of the year. In his last two games he pitched six full innings and was terrific in both, especially against the Padres in which he did not allow a single earned run. Chris Carpenter is 2-1 with a 6.35 ERA and he’s been the exact opposite of Dempster. He performed well in his first start of the year but was lit up in his past two. Cubbies have won two straight and surely have just as good a chance to win here as the Cardinals. Play Chicago +1.55 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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Colorado +1.75 over PHILADELPHIA (1:05 PM)<o></o>
We know Jon Lieber has been near perfect with a 3-0 record and a 2.49 ERA, however, that’s not going to last. How he’s accomplished that so far is as puzzling to us as America voting off Anwar Robinson. Leiber looks like he’s throwing batting practice out there with very little velocity and an average curve and slider. Leiber’s best days are far behind him and it’s only a matter of time until things “even out” for this guy. He’s just not that good to be dominating major league hitters. Joe Kennedy was sharp in his last outing against the Giants after two rough starts to open the year. He’s a quality lefty that has one of the liveliest fastballs, in terms of movement, in the league. With his cross-body mechanics the ball is extremely hard to pick up, particularly for left-handed hitters, who hit just .183 off him. Whenever the Phillies are a big price you’ll likely find us on the pooch because this team will lose more games than they win and don’t warrant this tag over anyone. Huge overlay. Play Colorado +1.75 (Risking 1.5 units).<o></o>
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Boston +1.03 over BALTIMORE (7:05 PM)<o></o>
Looks like Matt Clement likes his new digs and the results have been a 1-0 record in three starts with a rather impressive 3.12 ERA. Clements’ talent has never been is question. The man can flat out pitch, however, he’s struggled at times because of a lack of other intangibles. Thing is, he’s now with the best team in the majors and this one doesn’t need much thought. The equation goes something like this; When we don’t have to lay anything with the Red Sox with Matt Clement on the hill over the Orioles or anyone else for that matter, you can pencil us in. Play: Boston +1.03 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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TORONTO +1.30 over NY Yankees (7:05 PM)<o></o>
So the Yanks came up with a big game last night, very big deal. Mike Mussina’s 14 years of service and nearly 3000 major league innings pitched is starting to catch up to him. Don’t get us wrong, any team would love to employ this workhorse, however, he’s not the dominant pitcher that he once was and can’t be counted on to go seven innings and allow three runs or less like he used to. He’ll now go six innings on a good night and likely give up four or more runs. The Yanks will face a very good-looking lefthander in the Blue Jays Gustavo Chacin. A late-season call-up last season, Chacin is 4-1 with a 1.91 ERA in five career starts. He’s allowed just three runs and 13 hits in 19 innings and baffled Texas on Saturday, allowing two hits over eight innings in an 8-0 win. Blue Jays are very capable of pulling the upset here. Play: Toronto +1.30 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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WASHINGTON +1.25 over Atlanta (1:05 PM)
John Patterson is not a household name, however, pretty soon he just might be the most talked about athlete in the state of Washington. Patterson has some of the nastiest pitches in the majors. He could crack the rotation on any team in the majors and has been flat out brilliant this year after showing signs of brilliance last season. He throws strikes and he comes right at hitters with an assortment of pitches and speeds. He has yet to allow a homerun in two starts covering 14 innings. He went seven full innings in both starts against the Fish and the Snakes. The opposition is hitting a measly .208 against him. He’s also struck out 12 batters in 14 innings and walked just two. This is no fluke folks, this guy can pitch, make no mistake about that and if he stays healthy, he’ll be one of the top pitchers in the majors. It’s not going to be long before you’ll never get a price like this at home on Patterson again. Take advantage now before he gets his just due. Play: Washington +1.25 (Risking 1.5 units).
Time to turn things around.
Pittsburgh +1.40 over CINCINNATI (12:35 PM)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
We’re seeing a slew of ordinary pitchers get off to a strong start and than and than fall flat on their faces and we’re seeing pitchers that have been decent in the past get rocked and than pick up their game. That’s precisely the situation here with Eric Milton and Kip Wells. Milton is about as ordinary as they come and even with his 2-1 record he still has an ERA of 4.86 and he’s allowed 20 hits and five jacks in just 16.2 innings of work. Kip Wells is 0-3 with a 7.23 ERA, however, he’s been progressively sharper in every start and by no means is he the second best pitcher on the hill today. We’ll play against Milton every time as the chalk and absolutely make no exception here. Play: Pittsburgh +1.40 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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Chicago +1.55 over ST. LOUIS (1:10 PM)<o></o>
Number here is way out of whack as Ryan Dempster has some of the filthiest pitches in the business. Dempster is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA but don’t let that fool you. He had one bad outing in three and that came in his first start of the year. In his last two games he pitched six full innings and was terrific in both, especially against the Padres in which he did not allow a single earned run. Chris Carpenter is 2-1 with a 6.35 ERA and he’s been the exact opposite of Dempster. He performed well in his first start of the year but was lit up in his past two. Cubbies have won two straight and surely have just as good a chance to win here as the Cardinals. Play Chicago +1.55 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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Colorado +1.75 over PHILADELPHIA (1:05 PM)<o></o>
We know Jon Lieber has been near perfect with a 3-0 record and a 2.49 ERA, however, that’s not going to last. How he’s accomplished that so far is as puzzling to us as America voting off Anwar Robinson. Leiber looks like he’s throwing batting practice out there with very little velocity and an average curve and slider. Leiber’s best days are far behind him and it’s only a matter of time until things “even out” for this guy. He’s just not that good to be dominating major league hitters. Joe Kennedy was sharp in his last outing against the Giants after two rough starts to open the year. He’s a quality lefty that has one of the liveliest fastballs, in terms of movement, in the league. With his cross-body mechanics the ball is extremely hard to pick up, particularly for left-handed hitters, who hit just .183 off him. Whenever the Phillies are a big price you’ll likely find us on the pooch because this team will lose more games than they win and don’t warrant this tag over anyone. Huge overlay. Play Colorado +1.75 (Risking 1.5 units).<o></o>
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Boston +1.03 over BALTIMORE (7:05 PM)<o></o>
Looks like Matt Clement likes his new digs and the results have been a 1-0 record in three starts with a rather impressive 3.12 ERA. Clements’ talent has never been is question. The man can flat out pitch, however, he’s struggled at times because of a lack of other intangibles. Thing is, he’s now with the best team in the majors and this one doesn’t need much thought. The equation goes something like this; When we don’t have to lay anything with the Red Sox with Matt Clement on the hill over the Orioles or anyone else for that matter, you can pencil us in. Play: Boston +1.03 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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TORONTO +1.30 over NY Yankees (7:05 PM)<o></o>
So the Yanks came up with a big game last night, very big deal. Mike Mussina’s 14 years of service and nearly 3000 major league innings pitched is starting to catch up to him. Don’t get us wrong, any team would love to employ this workhorse, however, he’s not the dominant pitcher that he once was and can’t be counted on to go seven innings and allow three runs or less like he used to. He’ll now go six innings on a good night and likely give up four or more runs. The Yanks will face a very good-looking lefthander in the Blue Jays Gustavo Chacin. A late-season call-up last season, Chacin is 4-1 with a 1.91 ERA in five career starts. He’s allowed just three runs and 13 hits in 19 innings and baffled Texas on Saturday, allowing two hits over eight innings in an 8-0 win. Blue Jays are very capable of pulling the upset here. Play: Toronto +1.30 (Risking 1.5 units). <o></o>
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WASHINGTON +1.25 over Atlanta (1:05 PM)
John Patterson is not a household name, however, pretty soon he just might be the most talked about athlete in the state of Washington. Patterson has some of the nastiest pitches in the majors. He could crack the rotation on any team in the majors and has been flat out brilliant this year after showing signs of brilliance last season. He throws strikes and he comes right at hitters with an assortment of pitches and speeds. He has yet to allow a homerun in two starts covering 14 innings. He went seven full innings in both starts against the Fish and the Snakes. The opposition is hitting a measly .208 against him. He’s also struck out 12 batters in 14 innings and walked just two. This is no fluke folks, this guy can pitch, make no mistake about that and if he stays healthy, he’ll be one of the top pitchers in the majors. It’s not going to be long before you’ll never get a price like this at home on Patterson again. Take advantage now before he gets his just due. Play: Washington +1.25 (Risking 1.5 units).
Time to turn things around.