2005 RX Record
1-Unit Plays 40-46 46.51% -2.10U
2-Unit Plays 3-3 50.00% +0.40U
Total = 43-49 46.74% -1.70U
2-Unit Play
Pittsburgh Pirates +131 Pinnacle
I thought since I threw up a 2-Unit Play on my favorite team I should give you my reasoning for the play. It is not a homer pick, it just so happens the Pirates are my play today.
After a few weeks of the season are underway, one of my favorite betting opportunities comes into play: Betting against a starter who has over-achieved for three or more consecutive starts or betting with a pitcher who has under-achieved for three or more consecutive starts. In this matchup, we have both. "Over-achieved" is a tough description to label on a great pitcher like Oswalt but we certainly cannot expect him to have outings like he has the last 3 times out all season long. By going late in games he has thrown a lot of pitches L3 as well. Perez, on the other hand has struggled in his first 4 starts but based on history, that streak is bound to end. 3 starts is the magic number in which we usually see a reversal of fortune. Of course, it is not full proof as I was on Perez last time out also but the Pirates lost and he struggled. The best reason for these plays is the value in the odds based on recent performance.
I also look for teams on a 3+ losing streak playing on the road and Houston qualifies here. The icing on the cake - HOU is hitting .155 versus lefties L5, .150 L10, and .150 on the road. the cherry on top - PNC Park is built for left handed hitters but righties have to deal with a deep left field wall. houston's lineup is FULL of righties.
Anyway, these are the primary reasons for my play on my Battlin Buccos. Want a reason not to play on the Pirates?....they are not very good.
Good luck everyone!!!!!!
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1-Unit Plays 40-46 46.51% -2.10U
2-Unit Plays 3-3 50.00% +0.40U
Total = 43-49 46.74% -1.70U
2-Unit Play
Pittsburgh Pirates +131 Pinnacle
I thought since I threw up a 2-Unit Play on my favorite team I should give you my reasoning for the play. It is not a homer pick, it just so happens the Pirates are my play today.
After a few weeks of the season are underway, one of my favorite betting opportunities comes into play: Betting against a starter who has over-achieved for three or more consecutive starts or betting with a pitcher who has under-achieved for three or more consecutive starts. In this matchup, we have both. "Over-achieved" is a tough description to label on a great pitcher like Oswalt but we certainly cannot expect him to have outings like he has the last 3 times out all season long. By going late in games he has thrown a lot of pitches L3 as well. Perez, on the other hand has struggled in his first 4 starts but based on history, that streak is bound to end. 3 starts is the magic number in which we usually see a reversal of fortune. Of course, it is not full proof as I was on Perez last time out also but the Pirates lost and he struggled. The best reason for these plays is the value in the odds based on recent performance.
I also look for teams on a 3+ losing streak playing on the road and Houston qualifies here. The icing on the cake - HOU is hitting .155 versus lefties L5, .150 L10, and .150 on the road. the cherry on top - PNC Park is built for left handed hitters but righties have to deal with a deep left field wall. houston's lineup is FULL of righties.
Anyway, these are the primary reasons for my play on my Battlin Buccos. Want a reason not to play on the Pirates?....they are not very good.
Good luck everyone!!!!!!
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