I feel SO stupid - please tell me I am not

cincy_ · May 4, 2005

For 1st half lines,

I saw Sacramento +3 (+105) at SKYBOOK
I saw Seattle -2.5 (-117) at Hollywood

I was ABOUT to put in a dime on both sides and hope for a halftime spread of 3. It would have cost me $120 to win $1,000. Then I figure 8 to 1 is too low a price, so I wait for one of the books to move their vig. It never happens, so I don't hit it - and BINGO, the halftime score is Seattle by 3.

In hindsight, I just gave away a dime, but was wondering if I did the right thing.

bigbet1234 · May 4, 2005

.5 middle is not worth 12c IMO

BB

nimue77 · May 4, 2005

12 cents is way too much, not worth more than 7 cents IMO. If skybook had +105 that means II had +108...but 9 cents is still too much.
I saw some 2.5's and 3's yesterday but nothing worth it

I do have 5 to 6 for the game.

LEYKIS101 · May 4, 2005

nimue77 said:
12 cents is way too much, not worth more than 7 cents IMO. If skybook had +105 that means II had +108...but 9 cents is still too much.
I saw some 2.5's and 3's yesterday but nothing worth it I do have 5 to 6 for the game.

Ive got the same 5-6 for the game.

Cincy, I believe you did good long-term pulling away from this one. Sure it sucks now, but youve got to think long-term.

Doug · May 4, 2005

The only thing wrong is it hit. I wouldn't have played it ! It may have small value, but not huge. I think the lines were both fair. 12 cents for a half-point on a half seems about right, maybe a little cheap, but close. I don't think you missed a great deal.

nimue77 · May 4, 2005

Dangit! If collison holds onto that rebound he gets fouled and its probably 5 or 6. Now its probably 4 or 2 or 1.

Yep! Landed 4 because collision taps the ball away instead of just grabbing it.

Doug · May 4, 2005

nimue77 said:
12 cents is way too much, not worth more than 7 cents IMO. If skybook had +105 that means II had +108...but 9 cents is still too much.
I saw some 2.5's and 3's yesterday but nothing worth it I do have 5 to 6 for the game.

I'd do it for 7 cents ! Half points are worth more on a half. 12 cents is kind of a wash, IMO.You need a database guy to analize it's value. Brewers 7 comes to mind, and a guy called Dreamer ( not sure if he posts here).Fezzik may have insight also, if he sees this.

You didn't miss a great side, but others can give tighter numbers, I'm more basic rule of thumb guy, the big problem is hit this partiular time, you needto get past that issue.