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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">0.00 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">37</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">49</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-6.15 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2005)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">43</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">58</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-9.03 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

San Diego –1½ +1.15 over CINCINNATI (7:05 PM)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>

The Padres have won six of seven and that includes taking three out of four in St. Louis over the weekend. This edition of the Padres doesn’t lack much. They have speed, power, they hit for average, they’re sound defensively and unlike most, they have a rock solid pen to go along with great starting pitching beginning with Jake Peavy. Peavy has yet to lose and on the road he’s 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA. In 43 innings of work he’s whiffed 49 and has issued just eight free passes. Cincinnati has dropped nine of 10, including a 9-3 defeat to the Dodgers on Sunday night. The Reds have lost six of their last seven at home and the dugout is not a pleasant place to be at the moment. Austin Kearns was benched yesterday because he can’t hit a beach ball and frustration has set in right across the board. Jeff Weaver struck out eight batters yesterday and that’s embarrassing. If Weaver struck out eight, Peavy might strike out 27. Play: San Diego –1½ +1.15 (Risking 1.5 units). <o:p></o:p>

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Pittsburgh +1.25 over SAN FRANCISCO<o:p></o:p>

There’s absolutely no doubt that we’re going with the best of it here on the mound with Mark Redman versus Brett Tomko. Tomko has been around for eight years and he had one good season, his first back in ’97. He has a winning record but that’s only because he’s had big run support. He’s been jumping from team to team in each of the last four years. This season he’s been tagged for 44 hits and 22 runs in 38 innings for a 4.89 ERA. That’s very typical of Tomko, his ERA has always hovered around five. In the exact same amount of innings as Tomko, Mark Redman has surrendered 10 less hits and eight less earned runs for an impressive 3.05 ERA. Lastly, the Pirates have won five of six and unlike earlier in the year, when they weren’t hitting the ball, they’re suddenly scoring runs and that can’t be a bad sign for us. Play: Pittsburgh +1.25 (Risking 1.5 units). <o:p></o:p>

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Minnesota +1.23 over BALTIMORE (7:05 PM)<o:p></o:p>

The Orioles have split their past six games, losing two of three to the Jays and winning two of three from the Royals. They now sit at 20-10 and now the Orioles are starting to round into form. What that means is that they’re a .500 club at best and despite their seemingly potent line-up, this team will not hit like they have been and they won’t pitch like they have been either. They didn’t look sharp at the plate in the Royals series or the Blue Jays series and if you take away the eight runs yesterday against that stiff Brian Anderson, the Orioles have scored just 15 times in the previous five games. Daniel Cabrera can be counted on for about five innings per start. He throws a lot of pitches and he also falls behind in the count frequently. He already has issued 17 walks in just 28 innings and comes in with a 5.79 ERA. Walking Twins and falling behind in the count is not good strategy. Carlos Silva has lived a charmed life thus far this season. He gives up lots of hits but the opposition hasn’t been able to cash them in. However, he seldom walks a batter and that means that the O’s will have to earn the runs, unlike the Twins, who will be given some free opportunities to score. Minnesota has won four in a row and another win here is a distinct possibility. Play: Minnesota +1.23 (Risking 1.5 units).
 

Nonsequential
Joined
Nov 1, 2004
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I can feel it man...you're starting to heat up and you're gonna go on a big run. THese plays today look solid. Its a marathon not a sprint right? Best of luck bud, thanks for posting.
 

"When you win, say little; when you lose, say less
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
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I've been meaning to say for some time Sherwood, that your daily "Three with analysis" column is pretty well the first thing thing I turn to every bases day. No, I don't always agree with you, often I end up opposite of you on a game or two, but your write-ups start the creative juices flowing in the old noggin', and for that I thank you buddy.

Best,
Three Units
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
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Tomko is KILLING me, 2 complete game wins against Pitt. I had Pitt both times.

Shitty way to lose with a base hit and then the runners advancing to 2nd and 3rd on the throw home - setting up the sac fly to lose.

****
 

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