question for cappers

Hi I notice that most of the cappers here are picking between 4 and 6 games every day. It would seem to me that out of 15 games is it possable that 25 to 40% of them are over or under lays? Seems as if they are being forced to have action. I notice most cappers are ahead but wonder if the law of big numbers thru multiple bets dosent wear you down 24 weeks 6 days 5 games a day thats just over 700 bets a season. seems hard to believe the lines are off that much or the games seem so easy. after all most of the information is known and in affect is old history. Just wonder if betting a smaller number of games would not produce better results.
I used a system this week on o/u where the road team and the home team both had a plus or minus 4 in the same direction o or u. and had good results 3-1. this weekend coming up i have 5 games where thespread is only + or- 2. I dont feel as comfortable and should probably pass yet i would assume most of you would bet hopingto be 3-2 at best not sure about that. would appreciate your comments on the number of games bet per day. thanks this is a great site and i learn a lot here. heart 222

You make some great points.

bobk, for me it depends whether im purely capping games (in which i have far less plays) or playing a mechanical system (in which ill have more plays)..

different people have different styles..

you get different things here, some people post here but never bet (pretend) and thats ok for them.. some people bet to just have action, some chase their losses.. and some are the real deal,, not calling any names (this is purely a general statement)..

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Check out, Sal the Ital. Guy bets MAYBE 1 game a day. MAYBE. Winning percentage in every sport is close to 75% give or take 5%. Sometimes he'll lay massive chalk, sometimes he'll take huge favorites on the moneyline, sometimes he'll give you an outright dog winner, sometimes he'll do a teaser, but he flat-out posts winners regardless of the bet. A perfect example is I followed his bet on this year's Super Bowl, Patriots ML. Worked out perfectly because they didn't get the cover but won. Laid massive chalk, but hey, a win is a win.
You say there is no way that this many lines are off, but in reality, nearly every game is off to some extent unless it is a push. Just depends on which side you were on! I agree that betting smaller games could be beneficial. But, most of us like to think that if we pick 10 games, we'll get 6 right. It also sucks to sit around and cap a game and have an opinion, but not bet it and then watch it come in. People tend to want their hard work in capping to go towards something. And of course, some people are action junkies.
I've learned to cut back on my bets through betting underdogs. I bet roughly 4 dogs everyday, and I need 2 of the 4 to come in. In baseball, anyone can win on any given day more so than any other sport. So, it's been profitable thus far, but I'm only in the beginning stages.
You bring up some good points, and I look forward to your reply if you have one. If not, best of luck, as always.

Thanks for the commentary. one of the guys i email with who finished nba +50 units does well with his 3 star picks a few mostly well with his medium 2 star his 1 star picks last 2 years have come in around 50-52% when I said why bother with the 1,s the reply is well i have to do the work anyhow so i may as well bet them. i dont know if he has a ranking system or what his methodolgy is but the 1 stars are basically flat.

I dont know if most of you rate points for run scored era batting ave etc to detrmine where you are but i just feel that betting 40% of anything is often to much. ANyhow thanks for the commentary and i will look at sal the i in the future.