Public money flowing in...

WildBill · May 13, 2005

These huge road chalk situations coming up in the two games on the board sure do smell like an overabundance of public money hitting the books. Spurs by 6? Maybe the Spurs win and cover, but that number just seems way out of line to me. Thoughts?

jwblue · May 14, 2005

Totally agree. But as they say..if it looks too good to be true.....

It really makes no sense. Seattle got fewer points the first game, and they won outright! So now Vegas is giving you more points!. San Antononio or nothing for me.

IS

LEYKIS101 · May 14, 2005

Agree with you IS, seems like they're definitely baiting that +6 Seattle side. Free throws were what allowed SEA to win game 3, I think SA hits enough to win, not sure if they cover though.

Whoson1st · May 14, 2005

Let me use my vast real estate knowledge to look into this. As I pondered weak and weary once upon a midnight dreary............. wait... that's the wrong textbook. Here we go---Confusius say.... Man who lay points not smart thinking man in any game. Better to look elsewhere......But I'm not sure if he was talking Real Estate or Sportsbetting............ So I follow that OTHER great ONE...... Nancy Regan.......... "Just say No"......

Intruder · May 14, 2005

The local books I talked to are getting very heavy fav action........fwiw. Maybe Slim can help with this on Sunday.

ironlock · May 14, 2005

Intruder said:
The local books I talked to are getting very heavy fav action........fwiw. Maybe Slim can help with this on Sunday.

Are you saying that you have talked to 'local' books that are ALREADY taking "heavy favorite action" for Sunday's games?

If so, you're full of ****.

coconutman · May 14, 2005

Intruder... you think slim is going to get a different side pounded? NO. Public likes Miami... the money will come on Miami all day.

coconutman · May 14, 2005

Sometimes when DPO posts he makes is clear who is on what side. Like public, sharps, king square. Now that helps you actally pick the right side.

Intruder · May 14, 2005

ironlock said:
Are you saying that you have talked to 'local' books that are ALREADY taking "heavy favorite action" for Sunday's games?

If so, you're full of ****.

Any local worth playing with had the line out this morning taking action on the early number, and was taking action on tonights game last night............if you don't have any local outs doing this, find a new one.

LEYKIS101 · May 14, 2005

Intruder,

You've obviously got a good local or locals to play with. All locals I've ever dealt with only release their lines on the day of the game though. I should probably seek out one like you have.

Fezzik · May 14, 2005

fezzik

Spurs actually in a lousy spot game 3, great spot line 4. I'll pass the game.

WildBill · May 14, 2005

In the two road games in Denver, the Spurs were -2 and -3. Do people really think the Nuggets at home were 3 or 4 points better than the Sonics? I agree the Spurs are in the better situation for the next game, but the number just seems so out of whack. It has to be expectation of one-sided public play. Seattle is just being so shunned its amazing. The Kings series was the same way, the Sonics are just getting zero respect I suppose.

Rainbow · May 14, 2005

WildBill said:
In the two road games in Denver, the Spurs were -2 and -3. Do people really think the Nuggets at home were 3 or 4 points better than the Sonics? I agree the Spurs are in the better situation for the next game, but the number just seems so out of whack. It has to be expectation of one-sided public play. Seattle is just being so shunned its amazing. The Kings series was the same way, the Sonics are just getting zero respect I suppose.

Wil, the reason for the line being so high, Rashard Lewis didnt practice yesterday and will be a game time decision tomorrow, they have already lost Vladimir Radmanovic for the whole series, and Ray Allen is nowhere near 100%, taking all in consideration, I dont think the line is inflated. I think the Pistons line is the game that is inflated. I hope the line goes to 6. real bad line...

THE SHRINK · May 14, 2005

If either of these lines were so bad, then they certainly wouldn't be staying where they were now would they? :smoker2:

WildBill · May 16, 2005

The public just won't quit. Giving ELEVEN points to a team that is 2-2 in a series. Oh well, public just might go broke betting against Seattle I guess. This number makes zero sense to me, but I guess I am far too rational to make these sorts of judgements.

RPM · May 16, 2005

THE SHRINK said:
If either of these lines were so bad, then they certainly wouldn't be staying where they were now would they? :smoker2:

good point...

WildBill · May 17, 2005

They aren't bad numbers per se, just reflect how much the public is looking only one way on these games. As we go further in the playoffs all the "smart" money can't possibly overcome all the public's desire to load up on only one side.

bulldog77 · May 17, 2005

Also, has there ever been a 2-2 Series where one team is a -940 chalk(Pinnny) and higher elsewhere!

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